Tuesday, April 30, 2013

New England Patriots on Paper: About Blount, bluntly...

When your sole claim to fame is cold-cocking an opponent after a college football game, it's a tough thing to separate yourself from and it's something that tends to follow you around.

But when you start to follow it around is where you start to have real problems...

...because when a reputation precedes you, you are at a disadvantage before you even get where you're going, and you're going to have to work twice as hard just to be accepted.

That's what's facing new Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount as he attempts to resurrect a short career that dwindled to just about nothing when the Schiano regime took over in Tampa Bay. Affected by the drafting of Boise State running back Doug Martin and under-used in Schiano's system, the emotional Blount and the rest of the Buccaneers shut it down as they skidded to full stop in last season's second half.

What does that say about Bill Belichick's good buddy down in Tampa that his team essentially quit on him down the stretch? Not that any of us should care, except for the fact that it was the whole team and not just Blount - who really had no choice anyway as Schiano used him very sparingly for which he was openly questioned about such by the media...

...but, as mentioned, that's not our concern. The question that Patriots fans need to ask themselves is if we are going to welcome the man or ostracise him from the get-go?

Speculation as to how he fits into the offense is as varied as the opinions as to whether he even makes the roster - though anyone who thinks Belichick gave away Jeff Demps and a 7th round draft pick just to kick the tires on Blount is delusional. Belichick gives nothing away. He feels that he got good value in the trade, which sent the wishy-washy world class sprinter Demps to the Buccaneers.

But to properly evaluate what Blount's role might be on the team, prudence dictates that we take the entire depth chart into account.

Some take the stance that since the Patriots were one of the best rushing teams in the NFL last season, why fix something that isn't broken - a valid point, but there are still others that believe that if you're not trying to improve, then you are in decline - and Bill Belichick is not in that business.

At his best, Blount is a bruising power back with serious balance and athleticism with lateral suddenness and highlight reel moves for the milk drinkers and a serious stiff arm for the whiskey crowd, capable of long gainers once in the open field - reaching top speed very quickly and having the solid base that corners bounce off of.

At his worst, we get a violent and intimidating competitor who sometimes takes himself a little too seriously...and you're going to have to look pretty hard for a true football fan who has a problem with that.

Either way, the Patriots get a back that had first round talent coming out of the University of Oregon, but went undrafted because he punched Boise State defensive end Byron Hout after Hout precipitated the incident by taunting Blount repeatedly during the game and immediately afterward. The Patriots get a guy that took it upon himself to work towards guidelines that coach Chip Kelly had set for his return to the team, and eventually earned his way back onto the team.

The Patriots get a guy that Jeff Fisher took a chance on but had to cut to make room for a linebacker that they had traded for, and would have ended up on their practice squad had the Buccaneers not claimed him off waivers - and who became just the second undrafted free agent rookie in league history to rush for 1,000 yards in a season, and did it playing in 13 games, starting ten.

I shudder to think of what it would be like to be a linebacker for the opposing team late in the game and in need of a stop on 3rd and 3, look into the backfield and see a two back set featuring Blount and Ridley behind perhaps the best offensive line in the NFL - Brady under center, winking at the "Mike" as if to say, "Here we come, now try and stop us"...

...which is ridiculous, but it's a nice thought, right? Because even if they do guess right as to who's getting the ball and where he's headed, the up-back is already in the hole with a can opener...the point is that, bluntly, Blount is in New England to give the Patriots the big bruising back they haven't had since the Championship days...

...but he's not Corey Dillon. He's not Antowain Smith either. He's LeGarrette Blount. He's the guy that Chip Kelly suspended for punching out the Boise State player, then reinstated him because he had accomplished every goal given him to return to the team. He's the guy that got in a fight in Titan's training camp, then went up to then coach Jeff Fisher to apologize, knowing that his reputation preceded him...

..."He apologized, and I said he didn't have to apologize," Fisher said. "It's football. It's training camp." "His past is his past. Is that the first punch you've seen in camp this year? No. I'm not disappointed whatsoever. I have great confidence in the young man that he learned from his mistake, and he's very competitive. That's why we brought him in here is to watch him run the football like that," Fisher said.

And that's what Belichick sent Jeff Demps and a 7th round pick to Schiano for, to watch Blount run the football for the Patriots with that kind of attitude.

You don't hear anything about a guy like Blount doing well because fans don't give up their opinions quickly and because the media will never let them forget. Blount most assuredly made his own metaphoric bed, and had to sleep in it...

...then got up, and went to work. And if Patriots' fans give the man a chance, he could be making his bed in Foxboro and sleep in it for real...for a long time.

New England Patriots on Paper: Pats at 8/1 to win Super Bowl

If the oddsmakers are correct, football's final four will include the New England Patriots.

Las Vegas oddsmakers have instilled the San Francisco 49ers, 6-1, as the odd-on favorites to win the title, followed in order by Denver (15-2), New England (8-1) and Seattle (9-1).  If these odds hold true, we would be seeing a Denver / New England Matchup in the AFC Championship game...
Brandon Spikes and the Pats are 8/1 to win it all

...we're not so sure about the NFC title tilt.  The Niners and Seahawks are playing in the same division as the vastly improved Rams and a Cardinals squad that looks better as well, while in the AFC, New England and Denver are pretty much locks in their own divisions, though Miami and Buffalo have made strides to be competitive in the AFC East while Kansas City could prove to be pesky for the Broncos in the West.

And of course it's far too early to be thinking about such things - that being said, here are the odds to win the Super Bowl as listed by Sportsbook Bovada.lv , with AFC East participants in bold:

San Francisco 49ers 6/1
Denver Broncos 15/2
New England Patriots 8/1
Seattle Seahawks 9/1
Atlanta Falcons 12/1
Green Bay Packers 12/1
Houston Texans 18/1
New Orleans Saints 18/1
Baltimore Ravens 20/1
New York Giants 20/1
Chicago Bears 25/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 25/1
Dallas Cowboys 28/1
Washington Redskins 28/1
Philadelphia Eagles 30/1
Cincinnati Bengals 35/1
Indianapolis Colts 35/1
Detroit Lions 40/1
Miami Dolphins 40/1
Minnesota Vikings 40/1
San Diego Chargers 40/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40/1
Carolina Panthers 50/1
Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
St. Louis Rams 60/1
Cleveland Browns 75/1
New York Jets 75/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Oakland Raiders 100/1
Tennessee Titans 100/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 200/1

Monday, April 29, 2013

Patriots release five, sign thrice that many undrafted free agents

Bill Belichick wasted little time in getting his his offseason roster into shape after the draft.

He started by releasing five players on Monday: wide receiver Jeremy Ebert, fullback Tony Fiammetta, tight end Brad Herman, defensive lineman Tracy Robertson and defensive back Malcolm Williams.

The cuts coincide with a scheduled mini camp for Rookies this weekend in Foxboro which is more of a getting acclimated to the team type of event - a chance for the players to familiarize themselves with the facility and playbook.

Coming out of the 2013 NFL Draft and with Monday's cuts taken into account, the New England Patriots had a projected 17 spots open on the 90 man camp roster, but moved to fill them quickly as the scouting department and Bill Belichick targeted the following players and, though their signings have not been made official, Twitter and Facebook accounts suggest that the deals are done:

 Ryan Allen, P, Louisiana Tech
A two-time Ray Guy award winner as College football's best punter that went undrafted despite being a 5th round projection.  Will provide some competition for Mesko in camp.  His punts usually go very high with a lot of natural hang, causing many fair catches.

Ben Bartholomew, FB, Tennessee
Big Back with not a lot of touches, Bartholomew is such an obscure player that he doesn't register with any scouting agencies.

Kanorris Davis, DB, Troy
A linebacker at Troy and was a second-team selection in the Sun Belt Conference.

Elvis Fisher, OL, Missouri
 Medical red flag, hasn't played at full strength since 2010 but was considered a riser before suffering nagging injuries.

Brandon Ford, TE, Clemson
More of an H-back type and light even for that, but has some pass catching abilities.

Cory Grissom, DL, South Florida
Another medical red flag due to a broken leg a year ago and was a consistent starter who was actually able to return to play the entire season.  Has the size and bulk to make a differnece along the interior.

Quentin Hines, RB, Akron
4.34 speed at an impressive pro day got him a chance.  Has size at 5-11, 194 pounds.

Brandon Jones, DB, Rutgers
Another Rutgers' defensive back, Jones is six-feet, 191-pounds.  Very quick but slightly built.

Josh Kline, G, Kent State
Small college kid with a shot to back up the line if he impresses like he did at his pro day.The 6-3, 310.

Christopher McDonald, G, Michigan State
A three year starter at Michigan State, Christopher is the kid brother of Patriots' Guard Nick McDonald.  Slightly built at 6' 5", 300 pounds and quick, he has a shot.

T.J. Moe, WR, Missouri
Returned Kicks and showed some 2 and 3 capabilities.  Built like a running back and is more quick than fast.

Stephon Morris, CB, Penn State
Tiny speed merchant with some cover strengths.  Will compete but too small for the perimeter.  Could find a niche.

Zach Sudfeld, TE, Nevada
Huge target at 6' 7", one of my choices for the undrafted free agent that makes the roster beating out Daniel Fells.  Very good receiver with 4.7 speed.

Kenbrell Thompkins, WR, Cincinnati
A 6-1, 193-lbs specimen that was also a juvenile delinquent in his free time as a youngster.

Matt Stankiewitch, C, Penn State
A first-team All-Big Ten selection, the 6-3, 302-pounder is my other choice for having a shot at sticking on the roster.  Tough kid.is

There will be much more forthcoming regarding player movement, which will get much heavier the closer we get to camp. 

Patriots release five, sign thrice that many undrafted free agents

Bill Belichick wasted little time in getting his his offseason roster into shape after the draft.

He started by releasing five players on Monday: wide receiver Jeremy Ebert, fullback Tony Fiammetta, tight end Brad Herman, defensive lineman Tracy Robertson and defensive back Malcolm Williams.

The cuts coincide with a scheduled mini camp for Rookies this weekend in Foxboro which is more of a getting acclimated to the team type of event - a chance for the players to familiarize themselves with the facility and playbook.

Coming out of the 2013 NFL Draft and with Monday's cuts taken into account, the New England Patriots had a projected 17 spots open on the 90 man camp roster, but moved to fill them quickly as the scouting department and Bill Belichick targeted the following players and, though their signings have not been made official, Twitter and Facebook accounts suggest that the deals are done:

 Ryan Allen, P, Louisiana Tech
A two-time Ray Guy award winner as College football's best punter that went undrafted despite being a 5th round projection.  Will provide some competition for Mesko in camp.  His punts usually go very high with a lot of natural hang, causing many fair catches.

Ben Bartholomew, FB, Tennessee
Big Back with not a lot of touches, Bartholomew is such an obscure player that he doesn't register with any scouting agencies.

Kanorris Davis, DB, Troy
A linebacker at Troy and was a second-team selection in the Sun Belt Conference.

Elvis Fisher, OL, Missouri
 Medical red flag, hasn't played at full strength since 2010 but was considered a riser before suffering nagging injuries.

Brandon Ford, TE, Clemson
More of an H-back type and light even for that, but has some pass catching abilities.

Cory Grissom, DL, South Florida
Another medical red flag due to a broken leg a year ago and was a consistent starter who was actually able to return to play the entire season.  Has the size and bulk to make a differnece along the interior.

Quentin Hines, RB, Akron
4.34 speed at an impressive pro day got him a chance.  Has size at 5-11, 194 pounds.

Brandon Jones, DB, Rutgers
Another Rutgers' defensive back, Jones is six-feet, 191-pounds.  Very quick but slightly built.

Josh Kline, G, Kent State
Small college kid with a shot to back up the line if he impresses like he did at his pro day.The 6-3, 310.

Christopher McDonald, G, Michigan State
A three year starter at Michigan State, Christopher is the kid brother of Patriots' Guard Nick McDonald.  Slightly built at 6' 5", 300 pounds and quick, he has a shot.

T.J. Moe, WR, Missouri
Returned Kicks and showed some 2 and 3 capabilities.  Built like a running back and is more quick than fast.

Stephon Morris, CB, Penn State
Tiny speed merchant with some cover strengths.  Will compete but too small for the perimeter.  Could find a niche.

Zach Sudfeld, TE, Nevada
Huge target at 6' 7", one of my choices for the undrafted free agent that makes the roster beating out Daniel Fells.  Very good receiver with 4.7 speed.

Kenbrell Thompkins, WR, Cincinnati
A 6-1, 193-lbs specimen that was also a juvenile delinquent in his free time as a youngster.

Matt Stankiewitch, C, Penn State
A first-team All-Big Ten selection, the 6-3, 302-pounder is my other choice for having a shot at sticking on the roster.  Tough kid.is

There will be much more forthcoming regarding player movement, which will get much heavier the closer we get to camp. 

Sunday, April 28, 2013

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Saturday, April 27, 2013

Welcome (back) to the Big Nickle

Confused? Disappointed?

Well, you shouldn't be because you were warned...and as we know, it's an exercise in futility to try and guess what Bill Belichick is going to do in a draft because he has a specific plan in mind and drafts players with that plan in mind...

...and with that being said, welcome to the Big Nickle defense.

Or should we say, "Welcome Back"?

Last year around this time, we were speculating that Bill's selection of Tavon Wilson coupled with that of Chandler Jones and Dont'a Hightower signaled the implementation of the Big Nickle defense - but along the way, injuries to the safety corps and the inability of the corners to lock down receivers shelved the plan for 2012...

...this in response to a league-wide trend that Belichick the innovator himself has created with his two-headed tight end monster that, when healthy, are the single most dangerous entity in the NFL. Separately, they are excellent tight ends with decidedly different skill sets - but together they are unstoppable.

And what Belichick started with physical freaks Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez as athletic threats down the seam and underneath the secondary comes with it's drawbacks, one of them is learning to defend it...but practicing against it every day was like giving an evil scientist a field full of lab rats and everything set up just the way he wants it.

The trend to big receivers is not new to the NFL, but when Belichick took it to the next level with Gronkowski and Hernandez he also knew that other teams would try to copy what he had accomplished, and that he needed to adapt to eventually combat the monster that he had just created - which means that he is far ahead of the curve...

...and what seemed like just a neurotic pipe dream in 2012 could be a reality this season as Bill Belichick's selections in the 2013 NFL Draft feed right back into the Big Nickle thinking and should have Patriots' fans very excited.

The Big Nickle defense is best described as organized chaos, and works best out of a 3-3-5 formation
that is dependent upon the players being hybrid in nature, utilizing a hybrid playbook - and there's no other team in the league that has been focusing on versatile defensive talent in both the draft and free agency for the past two years - and they've again hit the jackpot in Friday night's second and third rounds.

Whether your base is a 4-3 or a 3-4, the Big Nickle is always going to be a component.

The 3-3-5 requires a certain breed of athlete - intelligent. disciplined, mature...and violent - a field full of psychopaths that buy into a philosophy, work diligently to that end, getting caught up into meticulous study and film habits - then go home to their families to lead an average life. No glitz, no fanfare, just work and dinner with the wife and kids, maybe catch a movie...

...three down linemen, their hands in the dirt with with the ability to penetrate and disrupt running lanes or collapse the pocket, coupled a combination of three rush ends and linebackers and safeties that are athletic enough to stop the run, rotate into any zone coverage or blitz effectively - and a combination of five defensive backs that can handle different types of coverage calls without giving up a big play.

For this scheme, the Patriots were all set with defensive tackle, as they had every player they needed in house weeks before the draft, anchored by Vince Wilfork and names like Francis, Deaderick, Love and newcomers Tommy Kelly and Armond Armstead...with ends Chandler Jones, Jermaine Cunningham and Rob Ninkovich in the picture as well, there is much versatility along the line to fit the scheme.

Entering the draft, we had speculated the need for a cover 'backer, a physical corner and perhaps a developmental safety that everyone would be scratching their heads over - ok, not the safety but as Belichick has said, you can never have too many defensive backs, nor linebackers, particularly in this formation...

...and they got those in Linebacker Jamie Collins in the second round and Rutgers corner Logan Ryan in the third - throw in the versatile tweener Duron Harmon and you have what is very close to a finished product.

The linebacker and hybrid safeties depth rotation now reads like a circa mid-70's street gang: Spikes, Hightower, Mayo, Fletcher, the volleyballs and Ebner - throw in Friday night's selection of Collins as an edge rusher with some coverage capabilities due to his experience at safety, with McCourty and strong/free hybrid safety Harmon mix-matching in centerfield and Belichick's plan comes into focus.

The alignment and this group of versatile athletes can disguise coverages and blitzes until after the snap, while still having six players with size in the box to defend the run. The athletic ability to run the Big Nickle has been three drafts in the making, and most of New England's defenders are young enough to ensure that attrition won't affect the continuity of the scheme...

...and the discipline instilled within the core veterans will trickle down to the rookies and they will acclimate as all the others have. The athletic ability and discipline to successfully run the 3-3-5 are limiting factors for most teams, but not the Patriots...not now, as Belichick's seemingly curious draft schematic is not as head-scratching when you consider the well oiled machine that he's been trying to build.

Welcome (back) to the Big Nickle

Confused?  Disappointed?

Well, you shouldn't be because you were warned...and as we know, it's an exercise in futility to try and guess what Bill Belichick is going to do in a draft because he has a specific plan in mind and drafts players with that plan in mind...

...and with that being said, welcome to the Big Nickle defense.

Or should we say, "Welcome Back"?

Last year around this time, we were speculating that Bill's selection of Tavon Wilson coupled with that of Chandler Jones and Dont'a Hightower signaled the implementation of the Big Nickle defense  - but along the way, injuries to the safety corps and the inability of the corners to lock down receivers shelved the plan for 2012...

...this in response to a league-wide trend that Belichick the innovator himself has created with his two-headed tight end monster that, when healthy, are the single most dangerous entity in the NFL. Separately, they are excellent tight ends with decidedly different skill sets - but together they are unstoppable.

And what Belichick started with physical freaks Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez as athletic threats down the seam and underneath the secondary comes with it's drawbacks, one of them is learning to defend it...but practicing against it every day was like giving an evil scientist a field full of lab rats and everything set up just the way he wants it.

The trend to big receivers is not new to the NFL, but when Belichick took it to the next level with Gronkowski and Hernandez he also knew that other teams would try to copy what he had accomplished, and that he needed to adapt to eventually combat the monster that he had just created - which means that he is far ahead of the curve...

...and what seemed like just a neurotic pipe dream in 2012 could be a reality this season as Bill Belichick's selections in the 2013 NFL Draft feed right back into the Big Nickle thinking and should have Patriots' fans very excited.

The Big Nickle defense is best described as organized chaos, and works best out of a 3-3-5 formation
that is dependent upon the players being hybrid in nature, utilizing a hybrid playbook - and there's no other team in the league that has been focusing on versatile defensive talent in both the draft and free agency for the past two years - and they've again hit the jackpot in Friday night's second and third rounds.

Whether your base is a 4-3 or a 3-4, the Big Nickle is always going to be a component.

The 3-3-5 requires a certain breed of athlete - intelligent. disciplined, mature...and violent - a field full of psychopaths that buy into a philosophy, work diligently to that end, getting caught up into meticulous study and film habits - then go home to their families to lead an average life.  No glitz, no fanfare, just work and dinner with the wife and kids, maybe catch a movie...

...three down linemen, their hands in the dirt with with the ability to penetrate and disrupt running lanes or collapse the pocket, coupled a combination of three rush ends and linebackers and safeties that are athletic enough to stop the run, rotate into any zone coverage or blitz effectively - and a combination of five defensive backs that can handle different types of coverage calls without giving up a big play.

For this scheme, the Patriots were all set with defensive tackle, as they had every player they needed in house weeks before the draft, anchored by Vince Wilfork and names like Francis, Deaderick, Love and newcomers Tommy Kelly and Armond Armstead...with ends Chandler Jones, Jermaine Cunningham and Rob Ninkovich in the picture as well, there is much versatility along the line to fit the scheme.

Entering the draft, we had speculated the need for a cover 'backer, a physical corner and perhaps a developmental safety that everyone would be scratching their heads over - ok, not the safety but as Belichick has said, you can never have too many defensive backs, nor linebackers, particularly in this formation...

...and they got those in Linebacker Jamie Collins in the second round and Rutgers corner Logan Ryan in the third - throw in the versatile tweener Duron Harmon and you have what is very close to a finished product.

The linebacker and hybrid safeties depth rotation now reads like a circa mid-70's street gang: Spikes, Hightower, Mayo, Fletcher, the volleyballs and Ebner - throw in Friday night's selection of Collins as an edge rusher with some coverage capabilities due to his experience at safety, with McCourty and strong/free hybrid safety Harmon mix-matching in centerfield and Belichick's plan comes into focus.

The alignment and this group of versatile athletes can disguise coverages and blitzes until after the snap, while still having six players with size in the box to defend the run. The athletic ability to run the Big Nickle has been three drafts in the making, and most of New England's defenders are young enough to ensure that attrition won't affect the continuity of the scheme...

...and the discipline instilled within the core veterans will trickle down to the rookies and they will acclimate as all the others have. The athletic ability and discipline to successfully run the 3-3-5 are limiting factors for most teams, but not the Patriots...not now, as Belichick's seemingly curious draft schematic is not as head-scratching when you consider the well oiled machine that he's been trying to build.



















Welcome (back) to the Big Nickle

Confused?  Disappointed?

Well, you shouldn't be because you were warned...and as we know, it's an exercise in futility to try and guess what Bill Belichick is going to do in a draft because he has a specific plan in mind and drafts players with that plan in mind...

...and with that being said, welcome to the Big Nickle defense.

Or should we say, "Welcome Back"?

Last year around this time, we were speculating that Bill's selection of Tavon Wilson coupled with that of Chandler Jones and Dont'a Hightower signaled the implementation of the Big Nickle defense  - but along the way, injuries to the safety corps and the inability of the corners to lock down receivers shelved the plan for 2012...

...this in response to a league-wide trend that Belichick the innovator himself has created with his two-headed tight end monster that, when healthy, are the single most dangerous entity in the NFL. Separately, they are excellent tight ends with decidedly different skill sets - but together they are unstoppable.

And what Belichick started with physical freaks Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez as athletic threats down the seam and underneath the secondary comes with it's drawbacks, one of them is learning to defend it...but practicing against it every day was like giving an evil scientist a field full of lab rats and everything set up just the way he wants it.

The trend to big receivers is not new to the NFL, but when Belichick took it to the next level with Gronkowski and Hernandez he also knew that other teams would try to copy what he had accomplished, and that he needed to adapt to eventually combat the monster that he had just created - which means that he is far ahead of the curve...

...and what seemed like just a neurotic pipe dream in 2012 could be a reality this season as Bill Belichick's selections in the 2013 NFL Draft feed right back into the Big Nickle thinking and should have Patriots' fans very excited.

The Big Nickle defense is best described as organized chaos, and works best out of a 3-3-5 formation
that is dependent upon the players being hybrid in nature, utilizing a hybrid playbook - and there's no other team in the league that has been focusing on versatile defensive talent in both the draft and free agency for the past two years - and they've again hit the jackpot in Friday night's second and third rounds.

Whether your base is a 4-3 or a 3-4, the Big Nickle is always going to be a component.

The 3-3-5 requires a certain breed of athlete - intelligent. disciplined, mature...and violent - a field full of psychopaths that buy into a philosophy, work diligently to that end, getting caught up into meticulous study and film habits - then go home to their families to lead an average life.  No glitz, no fanfare, just work and dinner with the wife and kids, maybe catch a movie...

...three down linemen, their hands in the dirt with with the ability to penetrate and disrupt running lanes or collapse the pocket, coupled a combination of three rush ends and linebackers and safeties that are athletic enough to stop the run, rotate into any zone coverage or blitz effectively - and a combination of five defensive backs that can handle different types of coverage calls without giving up a big play.

For this scheme, the Patriots were all set with defensive tackle, as they had every player they needed in house weeks before the draft, anchored by Vince Wilfork and names like Francis, Deaderick, Love and newcomers Tommy Kelly and Armond Armstead...with ends Chandler Jones, Jermaine Cunningham and Rob Ninkovich in the picture as well, there is much versatility along the line to fit the scheme.

Entering the draft, we had speculated the need for a cover 'backer, a physical corner and perhaps a developmental safety that everyone would be scratching their heads over - ok, not the safety but as Belichick has said, you can never have too many defensive backs, nor linebackers, particularly in this formation...

...and they got those in Linebacker Jamie Collins in the second round and Rutgers corner Logan Ryan in the third - throw in the versatile tweener Duron Harmon and you have what is very close to a finished product.

The linebacker and hybrid safeties depth rotation now reads like a circa mid-70's street gang: Spikes, Hightower, Mayo, Fletcher, the volleyballs and Ebner - throw in Friday night's selection of Collins as an edge rusher with some coverage capabilities due to his experience at safety, with McCourty and strong/free hybrid safety Harmon mix-matching in centerfield and Belichick's plan comes into focus.

The alignment and this group of versatile athletes can disguise coverages and blitzes until after the snap, while still having six players with size in the box to defend the run. The athletic ability to run the Big Nickle has been three drafts in the making, and most of New England's defenders are young enough to ensure that attrition won't affect the continuity of the scheme...

...and the discipline instilled within the core veterans will trickle down to the rookies and they will acclimate as all the others have. The athletic ability and discipline to successfully run the 3-3-5 are limiting factors for most teams, but not the Patriots...not now, as Belichick's seemingly curious draft schematic is not as head-scratching when you consider the well oiled machine that he's been trying to build.



















Friday, April 26, 2013

2013 NFL Draft: Round 2 Blog

These are the selections in the second round of the NFL Draft, complete with opinion and grades:

33. Jacksonville Jaguars - Johnathan Cyprien, S, Florida International

The Jags get a fast, physical ball hawk whose work ethic and determination set him apart. Grade A

34. Tennessee Titans (from San Francisco) - Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee






Hunter is a big, speedy wideout with plenty to learn about the ball catching business.  Grade B

35. Philadelphia Eagles - Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford

Big kid, very raw as he started just one year at Stanford - fast and powerful Gronk clone. Grade B+

36. Detroit Lions - Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State

A bit of a surprise that Slay went before his partner Johnthan Banks.  Grade B-

37. Cincinnati Bengals - Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina

Curious selection with Lacy still on the board.  Grade C

38. San Diego Chargers - Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame

Chargers get an all-out football player who will roam their middle for years. Grade B+

39. New York Jets - Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

Say bye-bye to Sanchise... Grade B

40. San Francisco 49ers - Cornellious Carradine, DE, Florida State

Coming off a severely injured knee, id he all the way back?  His 40 times says so.  Grade B

41. Buffalo Bills - Robert Woods, WR, USC

Woods is a player that many Patriots fans hoped to see come to Foxboro, but no such luck.  Grade B

42. Oakland Raiders - Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State

Big time right tackle, road grader.  Excellent pick by Oakland.  Grade B+

43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

Tampa had to be very excited to see Banks fall to 43. Grade B+

44. Carolina Panthers - Kawann Short, DT, Purdue

Wears down easily, hopefully they can get him in shape.  Grade C

45. Arizona Cardinals - Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU

Excellent find in the 2nd round, he will be a great player in that defense.  Grade A-

46. Buffalo Bills - Kiko Alonzo, ILB, Oregon

Off-field stuff aside, a relentless motor and violent striker.  Grade B

47. Dallas Cowboys -  Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego State

The Cowboys just pulled in an awesome player up the seam.  Grade A-

48. Pittsburgh Steelers - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Michigan State

Great pick by the Steelers.  Best RB in the draft on my board. Grade A+

49. New York Giants - Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

Big time space eater and can get after the QB.  Nice pick.  Grade B

50. Chicago Bears - Jonathan Bostic, ILB, Florida

And there's the inside linebacker that I thought was coming in the 1st round.  Grade B+

51. Washington Redskins - David Amerson, CB, North Carolina State

Another guy on my big board.  Can be burned but is also a ball hawk.  Grade B+

52. New England Patriots - Jaime Collins, OLB, Southern Miss

Had us taking a linebacker here, but it supposed to be Greene. I never would have guessed it.  Grade C

53. Cicinnati Bengals - Margus Hunt, DE, SMU

Raw prospect, monsterously big and surprisingly fast.  Nice pick. Grade B

54. Miami Dolphins - Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State

Disappointed that Miami got Taylor.  He will be a difference maker. Grade A

55. San Francisco 49ers - Vance McDonald, TE, Rice

With Kelce still on the board, not sure what they saw in McDonald.  Grade C

56. Baltimore Ravens - Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State



57. Houston Texans - D.J. Swearinger, SS, South Carolina

58. Denver Broncos - Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin

59. New England Patriots - Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall

60. Atlanta Falcons - Robert Alford, CB, S. E. Louisiana




2013 NFL Draft: Round 2 Blog

These are the selections in the second round of the NFL Draft, complete with opinion and grades:

33. Jacksonville Jaguars - Johnathan Cyprien, S, Florida International

The Jags get a fast, physical ball hawk whose work ethic and determination set him apart. Grade A

34. Tennessee Titans (from San Francisco) - Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee






Hunter is a big, speedy wideout with plenty to learn about the ball catching business.  Grade B

35. Philadelphia Eagles - Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford

Big kid, very raw as he started just one year at Stanford - fast and powerful Gronk clone. Grade B+

36. Detroit Lions - Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State

A bit of a surprise that Slay went before his partner Johnthan Banks.  Grade B-

37. Cincinnati Bengals - Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina

Curious selection with Lacy still on the board.  Grade C

38. San Diego Chargers - Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame

Chargers get an all-out football player who will roam their middle for years. Grade B+

39. New York Jets - Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

Say bye-bye to Sanchise... Grade B

40. San Francisco 49ers - Cornellious Carradine, DE, Florida State

Coming off a severely injured knee, id he all the way back?  His 40 times says so.  Grade B

41. Buffalo Bills - Robert Woods, WR, USC

Woods is a player that many Patriots fans hoped to see come to Foxboro, but no such luck.  Grade B

42. Oakland Raiders - Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State

Big time right tackle, road grader.  Excellent pick by Oakland.  Grade B+

43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

Tampa had to be very excited to see Banks fall to 43. Grade B+

44. Carolina Panthers - Kawann Short, DT, Purdue

Wears down easily, hopefully they can get him in shape.  Grade C

45. Arizona Cardinals - Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU

Excellent find in the 2nd round, he will be a great player in that defense.  Grade A-

46. Buffalo Bills - Kiko Alonzo, ILB, Oregon

Off-field stuff aside, a relentless motor and violent striker.  Grade B

47. Dallas Cowboys -  Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego State

The Cowboys just pulled in an awesome player up the seam.  Grade A-

48. Pittsburgh Steelers - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Michigan State

Great pick by the Steelers.  Best RB in the draft on my board. Grade A+

49. New York Giants - Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

Big time space eater and can get after the QB.  Nice pick.  Grade B

50. Chicago Bears - Jonathan Bostic, ILB, Florida

And there's the inside linebacker that I thought was coming in the 1st round.  Grade B+

51. Washington Redskins - David Amerson, CB, North Carolina State

Another guy on my big board.  Can be burned but is also a ball hawk.  Grade B+

52. New England Patriots - Jaime Collins, OLB, Southern Miss

Had us taking a linebacker here, but it supposed to be Greene. I never would have guessed it.  Grade C

53. Cicinnati Bengals - Margus Hunt, DE, SMU

Raw prospect, monsterously big and surprisingly fast.  Nice pick. Grade B

54. Miami Dolphins - Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State

Disappointed that Miami got Taylor.  He will be a difference maker. Grade A

55. San Francisco 49ers - Vance McDonald, TE, Rice

With Kelce still on the board, not sure what they saw in McDonald.  Grade C

56. Baltimore Ravens - Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State



57. Houston Texans - D.J. Swearinger, SS, South Carolina

58. Denver Broncos - Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin

59. New England Patriots - Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall

60. Atlanta Falcons - Robert Alford, CB, S. E. Louisiana




2013 NFL Draft: Final Mock Draft Grades

The New England Patriots are still the AFC East's Daddy.

For years, it has been such because, for years, the other General Managers and coaches in the division always proved to be too immature to inherit the crown from the Patriots.

Thursday night's first round of the 2013 Draft is a perfect example of that.
Central Michigan's Eric Fisher became the top pick in the 2013 draft

The New York Jets, Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins all were quite active in the round, looking for a way to get the impact players they need to compete with New England.  After all, the key to building a team is to build it to compete against the teams in your division - but all of this time, they've been building their teams to try and compete with the Patriots, always ending up beating up on each other instead...

...and it's cute, right?  The children competing for Daddy's admiration?  The fans of these teams are outraged this morning as the Jets, Bills and Dolphins once again proved why they are the Jets, Bills and Dolphins.

New York traded their star cornerback to Tampa for their first round pick - so having the 9th and 13th overall selections, they seemed to have the draft by the short hairs, until Buffalo traded down with St. Louis, the Rams taking the receiver that Rex Ryan coveted and sending Ryan scrambling for his backup plan...

...and this after the Dolphins set an ominous tone for the draft by trading up from the early teens to #3 overall, taking a player who is a medical red flag and may start the season on the PUP list.  New York followed that up by drafting a good corner with the 9th pick, but then blew everyone sideways by taking a 2nd round tackle at 13...

...and the Bills took their trade down pick from St. Louis and drafted a quarterback that they could have easily had in the second round.

Doesn't make sense, does it?

These teams had a direct impact not only on the draft itself, but on our mock draft, which would have been a monumental success had the kiddies behaved themselves.

Regardless, We ended up being correct on Eight of our picks, had the proper position selected seven times and suffered through trades that affected seven teams selections - and here is how we graded the selections:

1. Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

There were rumblings about Fisher going 1st overall in the days leading up to the draft, but we declined to change our mock on subjectivity - and it cost us as the Chiefs went with the more versatile and nastier run blocker Fisher...Grade B

(Our pick: Luke Joeckel, LT, Texas A&M)

2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

There was tons of speculation that the Jags would take Jordan, But when Kansas City decided to take Fisher instead of Joeckel as the top pick in the draft, Jacksonville jumped on the chance at the franchise left tackle.  Now for a quarterback...Grade A

(Our pick: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon)

3. Miami Dolphins (from Oakland): Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon

Miami had said all week that they wanted to move up in the draft, and when Jordan dropped to the Raiders at #3, the Dolphins made their move.  Jordan has some medical issues and could start camp on the PUP list, so it was a calculated gamble that may or may not pay off...Grade B

4. Philadelphia Eagles - Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

Did anyone see this coming?  Obviously we didn't, but with the Eagles in need of some many position players, they went with the safe bet and got their franchise tackle.  Now Chip Kelly can go crazy with his Bubble Screens, if he has any weapons to throw to...Grade A

(Our pick: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama)

5. Detroit Lions - Ezikiel Ansah, DE, BYU

With Fisher being taken #1 overall, along with two of the other top tackles in the class, the Lions turned to defense in a big way, taking the freakishly athletic Ansah.  Dude is a beast and should improve the already potent Lions pass rush...Grade A

(Our pick: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan)

6. Cleveland Browns - Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU

The Browns didn't miss on this one, though it's curious as to why they gave Paul Kruger many dollars and then draft Mingo.  We had them taking Ziggy Ansah because they had repeatedly said they needed more pass rush - and since the Lions got to Ziggy first...Grade B

(Our pick: Ezekiel Ansah, OLB/DE, Brigham Young)


7. Arizona Cardinals - Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina

Philadelphia's surprise pick of Lane Johnson stunned the Cardinals and sent them into Plan B mode, but Cooper is no ordinary alternate plan.  They still scored with Cooper and made their line just that much better.  We're kind of thinking they take a Tackle in the second round...Grade A

(Our pick: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma)


8. St. Louis Rams (from Buffalo) - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

We had the Rams taking Austin at 16, so we're counting this as a win.  Jeff Fisher is not screwing around, and the Rams may emerge from this draft just as dangerous as their west coast brethren...Grade A+

( Our pick: Buffalo Bills - Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee)


9. New York Jets - Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

Buffalo trading down to allow St. Louis to leap frog the Jets for Tavon Austin was very well played by the Bills, so Plan B for the Jets was to take the best corner off the board, and now they have Darrelle Revis' replacement - and at not nearly the expense...Grade A+

(Our pick: Barkevious Mingo, OLB, Louisiana State)

10. Tennessee Titans - Chance Warmack, G, Auburn

The Dolphins trading up to #3 had a trickle down effect on this mock and on the rest of the first round, forcing many teams to resort to alternative plans.  This is a prime example, as the Titans had Cooper more highly rated but ended up getting a fantastic guard nonetheless...Grade A

(Our pick: Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina)

11. San Diego Chargers - D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama

This is where the mock started to even out a little, and we nailed a few.  Miami's movement still had an effect, but Fluker came up right where the Chargers had him and the snatched him right up...Grade A

(Our pick: Fluker)

12. Oakland Raiders (from Miami) - D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston

When the Raiders drink kool-aid, they really drink it.  A very late riser on the board as he was just very recently cleared to resume his football career after a freak accident at practice last season almost killed him.  With his heart repaired, he blasted onto the scene and the media hyped him and Oakland got him.  It's a risk, but since when did that ever bother Al Davis?  Oh, wait.  Nevermind...Grade B

(Our pick: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State)

13. New York Jets (from Tampa) - Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

When the Jets took Milliner at #9, we knew this pick was a goner - but this pick blindsided many fans and experts alike.  O.k., it hit everybody.  A second round talent, when - if they wanted a defensive tackle - the Best Tackle In The Class was still on the board.  Even Kiper was speechless, so if that's what it takes to do that, we won't give the Jets an F...Grade D+

(Our pick: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington)

14. Carolina Panthers - Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

The Panthers stayed the course and, thanks to Rex Ryan, was able to grab the player they really wanted.  He will terrorize Carolina's opponents for a decade or more...Grade A+

(Our pick: Lotulelei)

15. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

This was the pick all along, and they that all of the elite offensive linemen would be long gone by #15, and knew that no one was going to try and trade up to take Vaccaro.  The best player on a bad defense, it remains to be seen what real impact he'll have, but at the middle of the 1st round, it's good value...Grade A

16. Buffalo Bills - E. J. Manuel, QB, Florida State

The Bills had the opportunity to do something proper here and they blew it all to hell.  With the picks they got from St. Louis, they could easily have gotten Manuel down the board, but instead they reach for the big kid.  Not a bad player, but Buffalo could have gotten an elite receiver at this point and take Manuel with the later picks.  This one is going to hurt for a while...Grade D

(Our pick: St Louis Rams - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia)

17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

The Steelers are so smart - at least when it comes to evaluation.  They had this kid targeted, did their film work, their interviews and medical tests and looked at the entire package and not just Jones' back issue.  They will reap the rewards of this pick for years...Grade A+

(Our pick: Jones)

18. San Francisco 49ers (from Dallas) - Eric Reid, SS, LSU

Well, a safety was taken here, but not the one we had picked, and not by the team we thought would be picking here.  The Niners scored big with the top rated safety on our board.  With he will be more than sufficient to replace the departed Dashon Goldson...Grade A

(Our pick: Dallas Cowboys - Matt Elam, SS, Florida)

19. New York Giants - Justin Pugh, G, Syracuse

This was where the draft went sideways.  Granted, the Giants could always use an upgrade at the position, but they have major issues on the defensive line - And while the Giants said they had him targeted all along, Pugh remains a big reach and could have been had in the second round...Grade C

(Our pick: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State)

20. Chicago Bears - Kyle Long, G, Oregon

The Bears reached a bit here as well, but at least they took a player in a need position.  Long is a project and probably would have slid to them in the second round, but we also thought Warmack would slip to #20...Grade B

(Our pick: Chance Warmack, G, Alabama)

21. Cincinnati Bengals - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

This one came out of left field as well, especially so now that the team has publicly stated that Jermaine Gresham remains the starting tight end.  It appears that the Cats are going to be producing their own "3 Personnel" packages.  Hopefully QB Andy Dalton is up to the task.  The need was at safety, and they still could score Cyprien in the second round...Grade B-

(Our pick: Jonathan Cyprien, SS, Florida International)

22. Atlanta Falcons (from St. Louis) - Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

Excellent trade up for the Falcons who were probably thinking that Trufant wouldn't make it past Indianapolis at 24 and certainly not the Patriots at 29.  Excellent move by the Rams as well...Grade A

(Our pick: St. Louis Rams - Eric Reid, S, Louisiana State)

23. Minnesota Vikings - Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

How excited do you think the Vikings were to have this monster fall to them at 23?  The steal of the first round by far...Grade A+

(Our pick: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State)

24. Indianapolis Colts - Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

The Colts were a tricky one to try and guess, and they had their pick of many players that fell from their pre-draft status, so they decided it would be prudent to upgrade in their pass rush.  They got a really good player for this late in the draft...Grade B

(Our pick: D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston)

25. Minnesota Vikings - Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State

The Minnesota Vikings were the unrivaled winners of this draft's 1st round.  First they had the top rated defensive tackle fall to them at 23, then the top rated press corner at 25?  Most of time it pays to stay put and take what comes your way...Grade A+

(Our pick: Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame)

26. Green Bay Packers - Datone Jones, DE, UCLA

This has all the signs of a targeted pick.  The Packers along with the Patriots and Ravens are known squatters that will stand their ground and take the players that fall to them, often trading down if a targeted player doesn't fall to them to get better value in a lower round, but I we were cheering the Packers on right along with Gruden to take Lacy...Grade B+

(Our pick: Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama)

27. Houston Texans - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

Houston no longer has the issue of not having a bookend for Johnson.  Hopkins fits right into thier scheme and he fell right into their lap...Grade A

(Our pick: Hopkins)

28. Denver Broncos - Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina

The Broncos get a terrific defensive tackle, one that we had potentially falling to the Patriots.  He has all the tools to be a disruptor in the middle of that line...Grade B

(Our pick: Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M)

29. Minnesota Vikings (from New England) Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

The stunning draft continued for the Vikings, though many feel that they gave up way too much to move back into the first round, but they got another spectacular talent that fell way down the board.  When he was available at 29, the called Bill...Grade A

(Our pick: Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State)

30. St. Louis Rams - Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia

The Rams pulled a major coup in selected the talented Ogletree.  He was the best player on a solid defense and the fact that he's a former safety has Fisher drooling at the possibilites...Grade A+

(Our pick: Atlanta Falcons - Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State)

31. Dallas Cowboys (from San Francisco) - Travis Frederick, C, Wisconsin

Another head scratcher.  We had Frederick as a solid second day pick, but Dallas reached for him with a trade back.  Jerry Jones said he had Frederick targeted the whole way, so maybe he thought it wouldn't seem as big a stretch at 31?  No, Jerry.  It still is...Grade C

(Our pick: San Francisco 49ers - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame)

32. Baltimore Ravens - Matt Elam, SS, Florida

We had Ogletree pegged for this spot because of his experience at safety and his ability to provide a physical presence in pass defense.  But he was gone, so the Ravens went with a very good safety.  Smaller than what they are used to in Baltimore, but a nice pick anyway...Grade B

(Our pick: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia)

"Depth Draft" features gems if Patriots are smart about it

In the post-elimination gloom of early February, many Patriots' fans were still in full-grieve mode, lamenting tales of "what if?".

What if Rob Gronkowski hadn't have broken his arm for a second time against the Texans in the divisional round of the playoffs?  What if Aqib Talib hadn't pulled a hammy in the first half of the AFC Championship game? 

What if Gronk had been 100% for the Super Bowl the previous season?  What if the Patriots had that cover linebacker to cover up Ray Rice?  What if Wes Welker wasn't the only receiving weapon the Patriots had to divert attention from the issues with the Tight Ends?

But as Bill Belichick famously quipped, "If "if's" and "buts" were candy and nuts, every day would be Christmas."

What does that mean?  Hopefully it means that Belichick is leaving nothing to chance in his quest for a fourth Lombardi Trophy in his 13 year tenure at the helm of the New England Patriots.

From these experiences, we can reasonably assume that Belichick's targets should be, in no particular order, a speedy wide receiver to stretch the field, a three down linebacker with coverage skill, a press corner to develop under Aqib Talib and an athletic hybrid tight end that is capable of backing up both Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez with little drop off in production.

The Patriots have none of these things.  What they do have is perhaps the best collection of starting talent in the NFL for the schemes that they run, and if a corner, receiver or tight end goes down with injury...

...see the problem?  This is a "Depth Draft" for New England, and they have the opportunity to do something very proper - not necessarily mind-blowing or setting the league on fire, rather, to do the right thing and make sure that the Patriots can not be taken advantage of just because a player goes down.

Now that this has been established, how do they accomplish it?

There are many paths, and all are wrought with peril - all of the general managers and head coaches hunkered down in their respective "war rooms", jockeying for position, trying to land The Next Big Thing...so it's a good thing that isn't the Patriots' goal.  They already have the Next Big Thing, now they're looking for insurance.

The Patriots had five total picks in the draft, one each in Rounds one, two and three...and that wasn't going make the nut.  Then the Minnesota Viking popped up and offered Belichick a deal so lopsided in his favor that it was almost obscene - and he would have been a fool not to take it...

...so what that adds up to is two picks each in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, one in the 4th, and we all know that these rounds are right in Belichick's wheelhouse.  These are the rounds that always finds the best value - and there are a surprising number of very good players still available after the carnage of the opening round:

Updated Big Board:

1. Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State
2. Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State
3. Arthur Brown, OLB, Kansas State
4. Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
5. Khaseem Greene, OLB, Rutgers
6. Dwayne Gratz, CB, Connecticut
7. Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati
8. Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech
9. David Amerson, CB/FS, North Carolina State
10. Tyrann Mathieu, CB, LSU
11. Ryan Swope, WR, Texas A&M
12. Jordan Reed, TE, Florida
13. Chris Harper, WR, Kansas State
14. Barrett Jones, C/G, Alabama
15. Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall
16. Stedman Bailey, WR, West Virginia

New England Patriots Mock Draft - Rounds 2 - 4:


Second round, #52 overall - Khaseem Greene, OLB, Rutgers :

A former safety who converted to linebacker and became the two-time Big East defensive player of the year.  His experience at safety and his penchant for causing turnovers couple with excellence in setting the edge and rushing the passer, Greene is everything the Patriots could want from a cover backer, but he's much more than that.  Alternate Choice: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

Second round #59 overall - Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State:

Speed to burn, tracks the ball very well and is the best ball catcher in the class.  A little shorter than what the Patriots are reportedly looking for, but his route running and intangibles will remind many of Deion Branch - with better speed.  Alternate Choice: Ryan Swope, WR, Texas A&M

Third Round #83 overall - Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati:

Work with me here.  The Patriots would have at least one more trophy if they would have had someone like Kelce to replace Gronkowski when injuries forced him out of games with championship implications.  The team already has Jake Ballard, Michael Hoomanawanui and Daniel Fells, but none of them are the absolute beast of an athlete Kelce is as a virtual Gronkowski clone.  Cincinnati's wildcat quarterback, he is also quite versatile and could be an emergency QB if needed.  Alternate Choice: Jordan Reed, TE, Florida

Third Round #91 overall - Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech:

Big, fast, tough receiver who, while at Tennessee, was actually their best receiver before being suspended for violation of the school's substance abuse policy.  While at Tech, he apparently has clean up his act and passed every drug test given him.  Tough as nails with soft hands he would be the big Anquan Boldin-type possession receiver that would give Brady a unique check down target, though he is much more than that.  Alternate Choice: Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall

Fourth Round #102 overall - Dwayne Gratz, CB, Connecticut

Bill Belichick turned a lot of heads when he showed up at UConn's Pro day, purportedly to scout CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson, but Gratz has all the makings of a fine corner in his own right, and ended the season rated higher than his more famous teammate.  Gratz has excellent cover corner skills that should translate to the next level...and the fact that he could be tutored by Aqib Talib make him a solid pick if he falls this far.  Alternate Choice: Chris Harper, WR, Kansas State

















"Depth Draft" features gems if Patriots are smart about it

In the post-elimination gloom of early February, many Patriots' fans were still in full-grieve mode, lamenting tales of "what if?".

What if Rob Gronkowski hadn't have broken his arm for a second time against the Texans in the divisional round of the playoffs?  What if Aqib Talib hadn't pulled a hammy in the first half of the AFC Championship game? 

What if Gronk had been 100% for the Super Bowl the previous season?  What if the Patriots had that cover linebacker to cover up Ray Rice?  What if Wes Welker wasn't the only receiving weapon the Patriots had to divert attention from the issues with the Tight Ends?

But as Bill Belichick famously quipped, "If "if's" and "buts" were candy and nuts, every day would be Christmas."

What does that mean?  Hopefully it means that Belichick is leaving nothing to chance in his quest for a fourth Lombardi Trophy in his 13 year tenure at the helm of the New England Patriots.

From these experiences, we can reasonably assume that Belichick's targets should be, in no particular order, a speedy wide receiver to stretch the field, a three down linebacker with coverage skill, a press corner to develop under Aqib Talib and an athletic hybrid tight end that is capable of backing up both Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez with little drop off in production.

The Patriots have none of these things.  What they do have is perhaps the best collection of starting talent in the NFL for the schemes that they run, and if a corner, receiver or tight end goes down with injury...

...see the problem?  This is a "Depth Draft" for New England, and they have the opportunity to do something very proper - not necessarily mind-blowing or setting the league on fire, rather, to do the right thing and make sure that the Patriots can not be taken advantage of just because a player goes down.

Now that this has been established, how do they accomplish it?

There are many paths, and all are wrought with peril - all of the general managers and head coaches hunkered down in their respective "war rooms", jockeying for position, trying to land The Next Big Thing...so it's a good thing that isn't the Patriots' goal.  They already have the Next Big Thing, now they're looking for insurance.

The Patriots had five total picks in the draft, one each in Rounds one, two and three...and that wasn't going make the nut.  Then the Minnesota Viking popped up and offered Belichick a deal so lopsided in his favor that it was almost obscene - and he would have been a fool not to take it...

...so what that adds up to is two picks each in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, one in the 4th, and we all know that these rounds are right in Belichick's wheelhouse.  These are the rounds that always finds the best value - and there are a surprising number of very good players still available after the carnage of the opening round:

Updated Big Board:

1. Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State
2. Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State
3. Arthur Brown, OLB, Kansas State
4. Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
5. Khaseem Greene, OLB, Rutgers
6. Dwayne Gratz, CB, Connecticut
7. Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati
8. Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech
9. David Amerson, CB/FS, North Carolina State
10. Tyrann Mathieu, CB, LSU
11. Ryan Swope, WR, Texas A&M
12. Jordan Reed, TE, Florida
13. Chris Harper, WR, Kansas State
14. Barrett Jones, C/G, Alabama
15. Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall
16. Stedman Bailey, WR, West Virginia

New England Patriots Mock Draft - Rounds 2 - 4:


Second round, #52 overall - Khaseem Greene, OLB, Rutgers :

A former safety who converted to linebacker and became the two-time Big East defensive player of the year.  His experience at safety and his penchant for causing turnovers couple with excellence in setting the edge and rushing the passer, Greene is everything the Patriots could want from a cover backer, but he's much more than that.  Alternate Choice: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

Second round #59 overall - Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State:

Speed to burn, tracks the ball very well and is the best ball catcher in the class.  A little shorter than what the Patriots are reportedly looking for, but his route running and intangibles will remind many of Deion Branch - with better speed.  Alternate Choice: Ryan Swope, WR, Texas A&M

Third Round #83 overall - Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati:

Work with me here.  The Patriots would have at least one more trophy if they would have had someone like Kelce to replace Gronkowski when injuries forced him out of games with championship implications.  The team already has Jake Ballard, Michael Hoomanawanui and Daniel Fells, but none of them are the absolute beast of an athlete Kelce is as a virtual Gronkowski clone.  Cincinnati's wildcat quarterback, he is also quite versatile and could be an emergency QB if needed.  Alternate Choice: Jordan Reed, TE, Florida

Third Round #91 overall - Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech:

Big, fast, tough receiver who, while at Tennessee, was actually their best receiver before being suspended for violation of the school's substance abuse policy.  While at Tech, he apparently has clean up his act and passed every drug test given him.  Tough as nails with soft hands he would be the big Anquan Boldin-type possession receiver that would give Brady a unique check down target, though he is much more than that.  Alternate Choice: Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall

Fourth Round #102 overall - Dwayne Gratz, CB, Connecticut

Bill Belichick turned a lot of heads when he showed up at UConn's Pro day, purportedly to scout CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson, but Gratz has all the makings of a fine corner in his own right, and ended the season rated higher than his more famous teammate.  Gratz has excellent cover corner skills that should translate to the next level...and the fact that he could be tutored by Aqib Talib make him a solid pick if he falls this far.  Alternate Choice: Chris Harper, WR, Kansas State

















Thursday, April 25, 2013

New England Patriots On Paper: The Final Mock

Is there anything that the New York Jets touch that doesn't turn to poison?

This past weekend, the Jets sent their best player - a player that many felt they should have built their franchise around - to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in exchange for their first round draft pick, #13 overall, and a bunch of other stuff.

The now former Jet Darrelle Revis accepted a contract with zero guaranteed money just to get out of the organization, utilizing social media to label the Jets no better than rank ameteurs, and thier presence with two picks in the top 13 is disturbing to even the most casual observers as they routinely make bizzarre personnel decisions, and given that they need players everywhere - well - let's just say that the Jets could turn the draft sideways...

...and when I say that they have needs everywhere, I mean everywhere.  Their acute neediness is causing an extreme amount of anxiety and volitility to an already ambiguous setting at Radio City Music Hall.

As for the Patriots, it is fully expected that they will take the best possible deal to trade down and acquire more draft picks in the mid-rounds where all of their targeted talent lies...including Markus Wheaton, who is a projected mid-second round selection but is included in this mock as their 1st round pick...

...which is right around where the real estate starts to become prime.  From 28 or 29 on, many teams at the top of the second round will be looking to move up into those spots to grab quarterbacks or perhaps even a rouge player that slips through the cracks. 

The only problem for the Patriots in this scenario is that the San Francisco 49ers hold the entire process by the short hairs by having the 31st pick in the first round and the 2nd pick in the second round - plenty of ammo to move up to grab a coveted player, or to even move back with one of the picks to load up for this season or next.

And in that light, knowing that when all is said and done the draft board as it looks now is nowhere close to how it looks around midnight tonight...


1. Kansas City Chiefs - Luke Joeckel, LT, Texas A&M

Brandon Albert was franchised so that the Chiefs could slide him over to Right Tackle when they selected Joeckel with the 1st overall selection in the 2013 draft, problem is, Albert has stated that he is unwilling to do so. There have been speculative reports that the Chiefs told him to stay away from OTA's and that he is definitely on the trading block, though his nearly $10 million franchise tag number is a hurdle for many teams...

...but apparently not the Dolphins, who have amped up talk that they covet Albert. That situation bears watching, and Joeckel is the pick if Miami bites - if the Dolphins can't swing a deal, this pick could become Central Michigan's Eric Fisher could be the pick as they could slide him over to right tackle.  Fisher is more a mauler and would dominate on the right side.  Regardless the Chiefs did well to bring in a franchise quarterback and a competent backup, plus to retain most of their existing talent, so it makes sense to just fill their most pressing need and get on with the business of competing.

Joeckel is impressive more for his poise and maturity than technique, which is excellent. Doesn't get flustered and plays with patience, keeping his wits about him and doing what is needed to keep the defender away from the quarterback. Can handle speed or bull rushers with equal success, laterally quick and Prototypical sized and mobile and blocks effectively in the power game and at the second level.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon

The Jags desperately need a quarterback - and despite reports to the contrary, perhaps the down year for the quarterback class translates into the best possible scenario for a Jaguars' team that needs help virtually everywhere. It is a given that the Jags will have their choice of 2nd tier signal callers at the top of round two and they are presumably sweet on Ryan Nassib out of Syracuse, so they plug another huge hole by taking the explosive Jordan #2 overall.

Has the body and endurance of a basketball player and will need to add muscle mass but has a rare combination of size, skill and motor. Violent hitter and has the athleticism to drop into coverage, even covering the slot at times. A former tight end, has huge hands that he uses well to combat offensive linemen. A bit of a hot head, but plays within himself most of the time.

3. Oakland Raiders - Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

If there is a team that has more holes to fill than Jacksonville, it's the Raiders. Despite the need for more talent around free agent pick up Matt Flynn at quarterback, it is clear that the Raiders are in need of a complete overhaul. Problem is, they have no cap space to fill in any more big-time free agents and will have to build their team through draft and development, a novel idea that will pay dividends for Oakland down the road, but the immediate future looks rough. One thing is for sure: They simply can not miss with this pick.

There have been reports that the media "Made" Floyd, but his tape tells a different story.

Chiseled athlete and a run-stuffing presence in the middle. Flashes a terrific initial burst off the snap and acceleration to get past hand blocks, and has incredible hands which he loves to use fighting off linemen and swimming to the ball. He is raw, but has the potential to be a dominant tackle.

4. Philadelphia Eagles - Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

The Eagles are in the midst of transition, and were there any sure-fire franchise quarterbacks in this draft class, the new regime might have been interested in moving away from the Michael Vick era - and they still may be, as they could have a second tier quarterback fall to them toward the top of the 2nd round, but the team has dictated it's own direction by running from their starting corners. They signed former Raven Cary Williams, but drafting Milliner is a no-brainer.

A ballhawk, is excellent when the ball is in the air, turns head well and locates the ball, then has the ability to get body in position to make the play, at his best in tight quarters attacking the receiver off the line and delivers heft in his tackles.

5. Detroit Lions - Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

The retirement of long time left tackle Jeff Backus dictates the direction the team must move. They have other holes to fill, particularly along the defensive line and at the outside backer positions, where they may ultimately focus, but prudence dictates that you protect your franchise signal caller first.

Has the nasty streak to rival his athletic prowess, mirrors defenders and breaks down to take their angles away, strong in the running game and very smooth in pass protection and could handle both left or right tackle spots in the NFL.

6. Cleveland Browns - Ezikiel Ansah, OLB/DE, Brigham Young

The common perception is that the Browns needed a rush linebacker - and they did, but signing Paul Kruger in free agency was only the beginning.  In drafting Ansah, the Browns become a feared pass rushing entity, whether they decide to use the man standing or with his hand on the ground.

Another in the line of annual "JPP" clones, possesses rare skill, size and agility and closes to the quarterback with unrivaled quickness. His hits have been described as "Shockwaves" and his initial burst to the quarterback isn't the fastest but may be the most violent in the draft. If there is a knock on him it's that he relies on speed and technique alone and needs to put on some muscle.

7. Arizona Cardinals - Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

The Cardinals don't have as many holes as perceived, but the ones they do have are gaping. The new regime has indicated that they are going to defer on selecting a quarterback in the first round, instead bringing in Carson Palmer from Oakland. They have actually done a commendable job of bringing in short-term stopgaps in many positions, which should make them competitive if they can get anything out of Palmer. This is a work in progress, and they could still pick up a quarterback in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

A nice combination of smooth lateral movement and a nasty disposition that will serve him well in the NFC West against some of the top defenses in the NFL. Long arms and sturdy legs and a strong upper body to hold pass rushers at bay. Started college career as a Tight End and has only played tackle for two years, so his upside is tremendous.

8. Buffalo Bills - Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

With the Bills picking up Kevin Kolb, the immediate need for a signal caller has been quelled somewhat, though it is almost certain that the Bill will draft a quarterback anyway, as Ryan Nassib seems to be a target with his ex-college coach now on the Bills sidelines.. But that will be in the second round. They need a #2 receiver, but Patterson has the speed and talent to relegate incumbent Stevie Johnson into that role.

Patterson has a solidly-built frame with good height and length. He is a fluid athlete with good initial burst and strength to release to the inside and gain separation in single coverage. Patterson knows how to create with excellent vision, controlled footwork and speed, showing excellent change of direction and a strong plant foot to make elusive, sharp cuts - making defenders miss with quickness to weave through defenses. A tough, confident ball carrier and runs with the belief that no one can tackle him, powering through arm tackles and allowing defenders to slide off of him.

9. New York Jets - Barkevious Mingo, OLB, Louisiana State

The Jets have supplanted the Raiders as the worst run franchise in football, which is not a good thing when they have so many holes to fill. The safe thing to do is to draft the best player available, because it matters not who they draft, anyone they bring in is going to be a big help.

As noted by several scouts, looks more the part of a small forward in Basketball, but is an exceptional pass rushing talent with plenty of room to grow. Is explosive off of the snap, has exceptional closing speed and aware enough to know when he can't get to the quarterback and get his hands up. May be asked to attempt the outside linebacker position, but is expected to be a great pass rusher regardless of title.

10. Tennessee Titans - Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina

The Titans are in big need of some help in their defensive secondary, but this draft class is deep in safeties and corners and what they need can be had in the second or even third rounds, so they should follow the Cleveland Browns in taking the safe option, a road grading guard for running back Chris Johnson to follow - particularly since the team lost Steve Hutchinson to retirement.

Can play all three interior line positions with equal grace and agility. Has a history of being an outstanding wrestler and understands leverage well, which is key to interior blocking. Is short and can be pushed around a bit, but fits very well in a scheme where tandem blocking is the norm.

11. San Diego Chargers - D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama

Where to start? The Chargers are a mess, and the only real talent they had on offense have defected - and where football begins at the line of scrimmage, the pick should be there. Phillip Rivers needs help. He has nothing to work with and no protection and their running game is a joke. The defense is in nearly as dire straits but with the draft class being deep with defensive players, the Chargers need to grab offense first, and Fluker is a fast riser up many boards.

The Chargers would have to decide where to use Fluker, whether at Right Tackle or Guard, but either way he is perfect for a power running game, and is a capable pass blocker though his forte is being an enormous road grader. A big, powerful man that could help protect Rivers. This is a bit early for Fluker to be chosen, but all of the smart teams in front of San Diego have snatched up the potential elite linemen.

12. Miami Dolphins - Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State

With all of the money the Dolphins have spent during their aimless free agency spending spree, they took a big hit when they couldn't resign tackle Jake Long and haven't found a replacement for corner Sean Smith. All of the elite offensive linemen are gone by this point, so the best the Dolphins can hope for is that they can find a trade partner at or near the top of the draft to get Lane Johnson, their stated preferred choice - but trading up is a stretch, even for the manic Dolphins, so Miami will probably turn to the top of the cornerback class.

Very aggressive - sometimes too aggressive - in man coverage, but not aggressive enough in run support. Is powerfully built and attacks the ball in the air. Knows when to look back for the ball and is considered a ball hawk. needs more discipline and needs to keep his hands off the receivers with the ball in the air, but is the best corner on the board.

13. New York Jets (from Tampa) - Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

The Jets traded Darrelle Revis to the Buccaneers and sorely need a corner.  Of course, the Jets need everything, but with this being a defensive depth draft, the Jets could conceivably come out of the weekend a vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball, sans Revis.

Bloodlines are NFL quality, but Desmond is his own man...equally effective in either man or zone coverages and loves him a little contact, particularly in run defense. Times his leaps well and fights for the ball and shows competitiveness. The Jets have other holes to fill, but won't be able to resist this athlete in their secondary.

14. Carolina Panthers - Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

The Panthers are not that far away from competing in the NFC South on offense, but the defense needs an overhaul particularly at defensive tackle and corner. The top two options at corner are gone but the defensive tackle class hasn't even been scratched.

Fast and explosive burst off the snap. Possesses the rare lateral agility to slip through gaps and ruin plays before they even have a chance to begin. Strong anchor and powerful hands allow him to literally toss offensive linemen aside, despite size can also be considered as a five-technique defensive end. Was not allowed to participate at the combine due to a just-discovered heart condition for which he will be seeing a specialist this week, but if given a clean bill of health, this is the pick.

15. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

The Saints really need help along the offensive line, but that's not going to happen in the first round as most of the elite talent has been cherry picked, so their focus has to be on defense, particularly getting to the opposing quarterback and improving the coverage aspect of the safety corps.

Prototypical Free Safety size with the pop of a strong safety, brings the wood in run support and has outstanding coverage skills, particularly in the slot where he has shown the strength to jam routes and take the receiver out of the play, and is more a nickle back in that sense, but given his run support makes him an excellent free safety prospect.

16. St Louis Rams - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

The Rams have two first round picks and, combined with the work they've done in free agency, they could come out of this offseason looking pretty good. They lost Danny Amendola to the Patriots and released their starting strong safety, so they will probably address both with first round picks.

Austin has home run hitter written all over him, whether in the slot or lined up wide or even out of the backfield. Lightning quick and hard to locate in a scrum, he is the perfect replacement for Amendola.

Explosive talent with cartoonish athleticism, his change of direction skill seem to defy physics, leaving would be tacklers grasping as haplessly at a vapor trail as Wile E. Coyote. reaches full speed a split second after his plant and cut and has a special "Roadrunner" gear to blow past defenders like they were standing still.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

The offseason has not been kind to the Steelers, mostly because they were not kind to their bottom line in the recent past, and are now paying the price by losing good players because of their cap limitations - and they need some big-time help on that once proud defense, the most glaring need is a sturdy rush linebacker, which Jones may be the best of a good crop.

Rare athlete with prototypical talent and a non-stop motor, explosive and coordinated, incredibly strong and violent hands to both shed blockers and rip ball few from quarterbacks and running backs - one of those guys that you just have to watch play to appreciate. Words really do not do him justice

18. Dallas Cowboys - Matt Elam, SS, Florida

There are lots of needs to begin with, but the Cowboys created more by dumping Gerald Sensabaugh, so with no safeties of any tangible worth on the roster, the position becomes an area of great need. There is every possibility that Dallas elects to draft an offensive lineman, which is always the safest thing to do in the 1st round, but on this mock the best ones are gone - besides, they need a center and the best one available, Barrett Jones, could be had in the 2nd round.

Has demonstrated the ability to walk up into the box and be a force near the line of scrimmage while also dropping back into coverage as a single-high safety when coaches called for it, showing versatility - drops down to cover slot receivers - brings his hips as a hitter, showing the closing speed and raw power to generate explosiveness. High-effort player who seems to love the game. Quality special teams performer.

19. New York Giants - Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

The Giants ran out of magic on their defensive line last season, and it was an ugly thing to have to witness. Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck just were not completely there. There are issues at offensive tackle and at rush linebacker as well, but Werner falling into the teens due to teams in front of them having more pressing needs would be unexpected and a godsend to the Giants' defensive line.

Outstanding strength, is a difference maker for a team that tries to reestablish the pocket in the opponent's backfield. Can play it whichever way you want, he can finesse you with speed and bend or bull rush you with an inside out move. Perhaps the most instinctive pass rushers in the draft.

20. Chicago Bears - Chance Warmack, G, Alabama

The Bears have always been about linebackers, but the linebacker that they covet can be had in the middle of the second round, so the choice here is an elite guard who falls to 20 due to posturing by other teams' needs.  They will ecstatic.

Should be a contestant on Dancing with the Stars with his light feet, but there would be a real fear among his dance partners that they'd get pancaked. Eliminates folks in the running game and has a devastating initial punch to counter bull rushers. 

21. Cincinnati Bengals - Jonathan Cyprien, SS, Florida International

The Bengals are the next big scary thing in the AFC North. A playoff team with few weaknesses and an absurd amount of cap dollars as yet unused, if they are smart they can build a team to dominate for the next decade and beyond. They need a speedy running back and some linebacker depth, but the main concern is the safety positions that are in transition - and they can lock that down with Cyprien.

Aggressive and active - goes full speed every time...is a rare tackler that delivers the big hit, but stays in control enough to also wrap up, in other words he doesn't let anything bounce off and get by him. Very good ball skills and seems to like mixing it up in the box...good looking prospect.

22. St. Louis Rams - Eric Reid, S, Louisiana State

The Rams come into this draft just a few pieces shy of the competitive puzzle and loaded with draft picks to help the cause - including two first rounders. With the 16th pick we have them selecting WR Tavon Austin to more than replace Danny Amendola, and now a starting calibre safety. Their need is actually for a strong safety, but Reid is a bit of a tweener. Cyprien would have been the pick here if still available, but he's not on this mock.

Incredible fit in the Rams' secondary with LaRon Landry type intangibles and may be the most violent hitter in the draft. If he plays under control and within the system he could fill a huge need for St. Louis...just needs to play a bit more under control as he sometimes goes for the knockout, and has nasty intentions with every hit.

23. Minnesota Vikings - Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

The best thing Minnesota could have done for themselves was to trade Percy Harvin. Not only do they get rid of a talented headache and his cap eating contract, but they also obtain another first round draft choice from the Seahawks in the deal. They most definitely have the ammunition to move up and down the board as they please, but 23 and 25 aren't bad spots at all. They need a defensive Tackle, a middle linebacker and perhaps a corner and another reciever, but they've done well enough in free agency to focus on their top needs in the draft.

The kind of player that causes a play to stop in it's tracks, and what he can't get to, he redirects just by presence. A big bully that truly doesn't like his opponent. So why isn't he the first player taken? A knee issue for one...and has a habit of making poor decisions on the field, leading to penalties and being occasionally out of position. Is durable nonetheless, but conditioning is a bit worrisome as he tends to wear down. When he's on his game, he demands double and triple teams.

24. Indianapolis Colts - D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston

The Colts are doing it right, and will be a force to be reckoned with in the AFC South next season, perhaps a prohibitive favorite. They have addressed every need that they had - more or less - in free agency and can concentrate on bringing in the best athlete for their scheme, and the Colts management would have a huge litter of kittens if this demon fell to them at 24, particularly in light of the Texans projected to draft another big wide receiver.

Hayden is the flavor of the week heading into the draft, which is good for him and his draft stock, but he has a huge medical albatross hanging around his neck.  Perhaps the most talented corner in the draft this side of Milliner, his near-fatal heart injury still has many teams not buying into the talent, but the Colts have doen enough in free agency to take the chance.

25. Minnesota Vikings - Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame

The Vikings need a true middle linebacker, but there are just slim pickings in the draft. They could consider a corner or a receiver, but they should shy away from that notion just because the talent pool for those positions are plenty deep and a better value in the 2nd round for their needs...so going with the best inside linebacker left on the board seems likely.

Football smart and as loyal as they come, A good athlete who is instinctive and delivers a pop, is a decent open field tackler and is usually in the right place at the right time. Is an outstanding pass defender from the position, which is what he remained in college last season to accomplish. Remains to be seen if his man of integrity and team leader attributes translate to the pros, but he's got big enough shoulders to carry the weight of filling some very heavy shoes.

26. Green Bay Packers - Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama

The Packers will be well served to not panic over losing Greg Jennings to the Vikings and focus on what their real needs are. They still have Randall Cobb, Jordy Nelson and James Jones to throw to and while a speed guy would be nice, those three are proficient in this offense. They could use a Center and may be tempted to draft the top rated one here, but they are more desperate for an every down running back that is big enough and tough enough to handle the rough defenses in the NFC North and the even rougher weather.

Powerful back with the leg drive to push the pile and keeps his legs churning through contact, often resulting in broken tackles. Lacy reads his blocks nicely, showing enough lateral agility to avoid defenders as well as the burst to stick his foot in the ground and accelerate through gaps quickly. ..has the bulk/speed/athleticism combination to bring an added dimension to the offense. Has a variety of moves you wouldn't expect from a powerful back, including a spin move, well timed leaps and a devastating stiff arm. Arrives at the tackler with violent intent to pick up extra yardage.

27. Houston Texans - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

Houston has some problems. They have been dilly-dallying in the eyes of some and have been ignoring the fact that they need a legitimate threat opposite Andre Johnson and paid the price as they were exposed on offense in the playoffs with defenses focusing on Johnson and the running game. The defense lost linebacker Conner Barwin and Safety Glover Quin, and the team has stretched the cap space to make a big time signing in Ed Reed, but unless the Texans come through huge in the draft their very short reign of the AFC South may come to an end. The greater need is at receiver...

Doesn't have great track speed, but has excellent football speed and the intangibles to be a great #2 receiver, perhaps a #1 in the right scheme. Is always aware of where he's at on the field and has the smarts to improvise when loose in the secondary. His biggest asset is his precise route running ability and his uncanny ability to come down with the tough grab while making it look easy. A supurb compliment to Johnson, and will push him because Hopkins always wants the ball.

28. Denver Broncos - Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M

The Broncos are an interesting team, meaning they don't seem to have a direction. Their free agent signings were big names, but not necessarily the biggest of needs, which forces them into a mode where the draft means a lot more than it should. They will be potent on offense if they can keep the running game from breaking down - they were exposed on defense as the year grew on, but were good enough to beat up on a cupcake schedule and secure a top seed in the conference before meeting up with a hungry Ravens team.

Accomplished pass rusher with a variety of moves, impressive speed and closing burst in the pass rush, solid at setting the edge in the run game but could use more muscle mass to inside assignment - instinctive in pass coverage and tackles with a purpose - projects into a 3 down , multiple tool pass rusher that can drop into coverage with agility and awareness regardless of scheme.

29. New England Patriots - Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State

Losing Wes Welker to free agency, cutting ties with Brandon Lloyd...sounds like the Patriots need a receiver or two, and they do. The receiver that best fits the Patriots scheme is climbing draft boards very quickly, so if New England wants Wheaton, they may have to stay put at 29 instead of trading down to get him as stated in my previous mock.

With only five picks in the draft, the Patriots have to make every one of them a value pick, and they can not miss on any of them. Which means taking the best available athlete within the scope of need in the first round, either that or trade down for perhaps an extra 2nd and a 4th round pick - but for purposes of this mock, we will abstain from any funky moves.

A player such as Da'Rick Rogers or Stedman Bailey should be available late second or early third round if the Patriots wanted to double dip on wide outs, and from the deft work they've done in free agency, they can afford that luxury.

Excellent straight-line speed that translates well to the field, Wheaton has gained momentum since the combine and is now considered a mid-second round talent, so selecting him in the bottom of the 1st round really isn't that big of a stretch - and the only direction to go is up, as his sound technique and honest speed are becoming attractive to more and more coordinators.

Eats up the cushion quickly, so has an effective double-move as a result. Is used to running against press coverage as he practiced daily against physical press corners in college. Has a sudden burst out of his break and gains separation quickly - a natural and talented ball catcher and a very good deep ball receiver who not only tracks the ball well over his shoulder, but will also adjust his routes to run under a ball, timing his break to run directly under and attack the ball to give the corner no opportunity for the play...a threat to take the ball to the house anytime it's in his hands.

30. Atlanta Falcons - Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

The Falcons are actually in a bit of a spot. They released aging and injured players and replaced them in free agency with...no one. They need a new set of defensive ends (though they have signed Osi Umenyiora away from the Giants), an every down linebacker and a corner - and at 30, there are plenty of options...Defensive end Tank Carradine is a young speedster who likes getting after the quarterback, but the potentially elite defensive tackle class dried up a few selections earlier - so it's either reach ever so slightly for Carradine or take a projected 1st round cornerback in Johnthan Banks

length and tall frame for the position. Always seems to know where the ball is, quickly locating and aggressively goes after it. Good discipline to read routes and stay glued to receivers. Is a tremendous ballhawk and looks very fluid in coverage, very loose hips...always looking for the ball and an opportunity to take it away...will get himself in trouble with that attitude at times, but the positives far outweigh that negative.

31. San Francisco 49ers - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

The 49ers are in the rare position of being the defending conference champions, having plenty of wiggle room in their cap and a virtual boat load of draft picks - perhaps too many to manage them all efficiently, so look for San Francisco to move around a little with trades to gain higher picks with a package of lower round picks or stocking up for next season.

There are needs for safeties, a defensive tackle and perhaps another receiver, but the biggest need to replace Delaney Walker - so why not replace him with a receiving upgrade in Tyler Eifert, who is also the best blocking tight end in the class.

Solid frame with fluid body control and ballskills. Tough in a crowd, showing strong hands to make contested catches and a physical demeanor to come down with the ball in tight spaces. Takes pride in his routes and makes a lot of catches with his feet off the ground, attacking the ball in the air. Fully a leader and is one of the rare, high effort/great talent types that can make a difference in both catching the ball and blocking in the run game.

32. Baltimore Ravens - Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia

Everyone looks at the Baltimore Ravens dramatic rise to the top of the NFL last season and initially saw a motivated group of diverse veterans stationed strategically around aging stalwarts and a quarterback who was about to enter free agency...

Joe Flacco was absolutely their number one priority to re-sign this offseason, but once they were through paying him they had blown their entire cap load and was forced to break out the scalpel and remove many pieces of the Super Bowl puzzle.

Now they have no cap room, very few of their core players remaining and the last pick in the 1st round of the draft...and every position that they need to fill has been picked over by every other team, with the exception of a pass rushing linebacker, so they'll have to start with that.

Perhaps the most exciting linebacker prospect in the draft - but has some legitimate red flags as well. Makes plays all over the field, is quick around the edge and arrives at the quarterback and running back in a bad mood. He's a former safety which speaks to his athleticism, and also tells a story of decent coverage skills. He's not doing himself any favors, however, but getting nailed for DUI this past weekend. Add that to his suspension for violation of the school's substance abuse policy and you wonder about his decision making abilities...