New England Patriots on Paper: Mission Statement

If you are not attacking, you are being attacked.

That is an old military axiom that holds true for many things, particularly for professional football. Last season, with the exception of a few trick plays and periods of stagnation, the New England Patriots offense attacked their enemies in a manner not ever seen before in the history of the NFL.



Thing is, it wasn't nearly as brutally efficient as it could have been, and that knowledge has to have the Patriots' 2013 season opponents' defensive coordinators up nights already, trying to figure out a way to stop the juggernaut that Bill Belichick is likely to unleash upon them...

...and I say "likely" to unleash rather than committing to "will" unleash simply due to the capricious nature of their off season roster.

We are a little less than two weeks from the start of the free agency period and the Patriots front office has much on their plate in preparation, because what happens in free agency will directly affect what direction the Patriots turn in the Draft in trying to plug holes on the roster.

Is Wes Welker going to be back? How about Right Tackle Sebastian Vollmer? Brandon Lloyd is likely to be released due to some behind the scenes issues, so the receiving corps are going to have to be addressed in both free agency and the draft and there are depth concerns in other areas of the offense as well...

The defense? As many steps that were taken in the 2012 season to strengthen the much maligned unit, there are at least that many remaining to bring the defense up to championship caliber.

Aqib Talib, is he going to re-sign? Is Alfonzo Dennard going to be gracing the secondary or will he be sharing a cell with Bubba in Nebraska? Is Tavon Wilson the answer as the Big Nickle or will the defense have to rely on the unreliable Kyle Arrington once again?

Before one can reasonably make an argument for one player or another on the free agent market or in the draft, one must know - or at least take an educated guess - as to who their team is, what is going to be their primary focus on offense, and did we see a hint of it last season?

Does the defense attack or play rope a dope, clamping down in the red zone and hopefully holding the opposing offense to a field goal attempt?

If you are not attacking, you are being attacked. 'nuff said.

The Patriots offense never did get rolling last season - which is a scary, scary thought for the rest of the NFL. They led the league in scoring and in many offensive categories they were among the leaders, but we only saw the true Patriots' offense in short intense bursts, and in some games not at all.

Coming out of training camp, Head coach Bill Belichick had stocked the offense with personnel that suggested nothing but power. Four tight ends and four running backs and only three receivers...and in the first game of the season against the Tennessee Titans, we saw a preview of something that was never to come...

...and then in the next game against the Arizona Cardinals saw what happened when one injury derailed the entire scheme.

The loss of Aaron Hernandez early in the second game of the season brought the scheme to a screeching halt...and it became obvious - within the scope of my twisted reasoning - that Hernandez was scheduled to be the Next Big Thing, that the playbook was designed to take advantage of the mismatches that his presence created all over the field.

One NFL General Manager went as far as to admit that the Patriots offense with Hernandez could make a defense feel as if they were in the wrong package every single time - even if they were in the proper one - due to both Brady and his mastery of the up-tempo scheme and also the ability to take advantage of Hernandez' versatility.

By simply calling an audible, Brady could move Hernandez to a position in the formation that best took advantage of mismatches, be it as an in-line tight end, lined up out wide, in the slot or in the backfield...and if the defense was able to adjust in time, it left open a Rob Gronkowski or a Brandon Lloyd or left a big hole for a Stevan Ridley to run through.

On paper, it was unstoppable - and conspicuously void of master slot man Wes Welker, because with Welker on the field and running primarily out of the slot, it took away one potential mismatch, which apparently was too much for Bill Belichick to stomach as Welker found himself relegated to the bench.

Had the Patriots an athletic tight end as depth behind Hernandez, chances are that the Patriots could have continued with their plan to take over the NFL one victory at a time - but since they didn't, it was back to the 2011 offense...

...which was boring, but efficient and the best in the NFL. Welker started every game from there on out and Gronkowski went all neanderthal, dragging folks all over the field, Ridley's hard running was a pleasant thing to witness and Lloyd caught everything thrown outside the numbers - it was a great offense, but one can only imagine what could have been.

So assuming that Welker will be re-signed as well as Vollmer, there are two pressing needs on this offense: A speedy wide out to replace the apparently aloof Lloyd and skilled depth behind Hernandez and Gronkowski - and we are talking speedy wide receiver, someone that helps ensure that the safety can't cheat up and disrupt the underneath stuff.

One could make the argument that Jake Ballard and Michael Hoomanawanui provide solid snaps behind the starting tight ends, but neither possess the athleticism that the offense would lose if either of them went down again.

Defensively, Belichick added the pieces in the offseason to bring the front seven into a class of one of the best in football, what with bringing in defensive tackle Jonathan Fanene through free agency and drafting almost entirely on the defensive side of the ball.

Chandler Jones brought length and athleticism to the pass rush from the right end position and along with Rob Ninkovich, Vince Wilfork and impressive depth created a formidable line, which was backed up by the trio of Brandon Spikes, Jerod Mayo and rookie Dont'a Hightower.

But the release of Fanene and injuries to Jones, Spikes and Hightower and a suspension of Jermaine Cunningham caused major riffs in the cohesion of the units. Despite the skill of the linebackers, they couldn't cover tight ends or running backs underneath, putting strain on a front seven that had been holding the defense together enough to make up for the deficiencies in the secondary...

...which were many. But Belichick pulled a Halloween trick and acquired Aqib Talib from the Buccaneers and seventh round steal Dennard started flashing potential and suddenly, with Devin McCourty patrolling the back third of the field, the Patriots had a championship worthy defense. But injuries and ill-timed mistakes doomed the defense in the end.

And they were doomed because they were unable to attack. Just like on the offense, when the defense lost their starters, they also lost some of the ability to attack and dictate to the opposition - and what have we learned here? Right, If you are not attacking, you are being attacked.

The Seahwks and 49ers were able to take advantage of it, as were the Ravens...and it only takes one team to take advantage of you in the post season, and it all ends.

To prevent this from happening this season, the Patriots needs on defense are simple: A stud outside linebacker with rush skills and the ability to cover running backs and tight ends, a cornerback to develop under Talib and an athletic and rangy safety to cut the field in half.

And with Brady restructuring his contract and the team's imminent release of Lloyd, the Patriots have plenty of leverage (cash) in picking and choosing the players that they need...and they need to treat this offseason like they are playing for the Super Bowl, because they essentially are:

Be aggressive in targeting their needs in free agency, making financially sound offers to them and then filling with depth through the draft.

All of this being said, just whom should the Patriots target in free agency in the draft?

Next: Part 2, The dark business of football forecasting, offseason edition...

New England Patriots: Post-combine Mock Draft 17-32

For the longest time I looked at the Patriots five draft picks like they were litter of jack rabbits - give them a few months and you've got rabbits everywhere.

That being said, I do believe that Bill Belichick will trade down from the 1st round to collect more draft picks. The draft is so deep in need areas for the Patriots that good value and potential day one starters can be found in the second and perhaps the third rounds.

What would prevent Belichick from doing so? Well, a name like Ogletree being available with the 29th pick would do it.

Many believe that the Patriots woes last season were due to poor secondary play - and that was part of it- but in reality, tight ends and running backs absolutely killed New England on underneath routes. Dont'a Hightower became better at coverage as the season progressed, but is nowhere near the coverage backer that Ogletree is.

There's still a long way to go before the NFL draft in late April, but for now, here's 17-32:

17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia (6'2"-240)

Rare athlete with prototypical talent and a non-stop motor, explosive and coordinated, incredibly strong and violent hands to both shed blockers and rip ball few from quarterbacks and running backs - one of those guys that you just have to watch play to appreciate. Words really do not do him justice.

Patriots' perspective: Jones suffers from an affliction called spinal stenosis, which is a narrowing of the spinal column caused by injury that causes pressure on the nerve roots or the spinal cord, such as a slipped or herniated disk. Jones says he knows how to protect himself from injury, but no one can guarantee that.

18. Dallas Cowboys - Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama (6'2"-325)Should be a contestant on Dancing with the Stars with his light feet, but there would be a real fear among his dance partner that they'd get pancaked. Eliminates folks in the running game and has a devastating initial punch to counter bull rushers. Not a better interior lineman in the draft - not by a long shot.

Patriots' perspective: Would Belichick take a guard in the first round, provided Warmack fell that far? First of all, he may not even make it out of the top 10, so posting him going to Dallas is a bit of a stretch. If he did happen to fall to 29, it would be tough to pass on him - interior linemen with his athleticism and nastiness are a once-in-a-generation find...and given Mankins injury issues, not a bad fall back option.

19. New York Giants - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame (6'6"-250)

Works in-line, out of the slot and lined up wide, with the speed and foot work to gain separation. Is a versatile athlete who attacks the ball in the air and will come down with it more times than not. Is a very good blocker who can pancake, particularly on wham blocks pulling from outside of the tackle.

Patriots' perspective: In the Patriots' offense, he's just a guy. His upside isn't as great as some other tight ends in the draft because he's not going to be able to hold much more weight on his frame and fits best as a Hernandez type but without the precise route running.

20. Chicago Bears - D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama (6'5"-355)The Bears would have to decide where to use Fluker, whether at Right Tackle or Guard, but either way he is perfect for their power running game, and is a capable pass blocker though his forte is being an enormous road grader. A big, powerful man that could help protect Cutler, who tends to roll to his right when stepping out of the pocket.

Patriots' perspective: A perfect replacement for Sebastian Vollmer should the Patriots not be able to resign him. Has the feet and nastiness to plow the road in the running game and moves well laterally to provide one-on-one protection in the passing game.

21. Cincinnati Bengals - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia (5'9"-175)Many needs on offense if the Bengals are ever going to get out of the first round of the playoffs. We could definitely see an Eddy Lacy taken here as well, but the feeling is that Andy Dalton needs a home run hitter opposite A.J. Green to really open up the offense, and Austin has home run hitter written all over him, whether in the slot or lined up wide or even out of the backfield.

Patriots perspective: If Austin lasted until the 29th pick, the Patriots would be tempted to pick up this jitterbug...doubt he'll fall that far...Besides, redshirted speedster Jeff Demps is already on the roster and if used properly will provide the same style impact.

22. St. Louis Rams - Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina (6'2"-310)

Can play all three interior line positions with equal grace and agility. Has a history of being an outstanding wrestler and understands leverage well, which is key to interior blocking. Is short and can be pushed around a bit, but fits very well in a scheme where tandem blocking is the norm.

Patriots perspective: His name has been connected with the Patriots in passing, solely due to what is deemed an ambiguous situation along the Patriots line - which is a fabrication of sorts. Patriots would have to really be reaching to select Cooper, however - but stranger things have happened.

23. Minnesota Vikings - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson (6'1"-200)Skill set favors comparisons to Reggie Wayne, attacks the ball in the air and looks to create yards after the catch. Isn't real tough and can be taken down easily - if the defenders can catch him. Very illusive after the catch as if he had a schematic for the defense...a legitimate threat for Christian to Ponder.

Patriots perspective: An OK fit for a Patriots' passing game that thrives on yards after the catch, though seems to have a little Brandon Lloyd in him, where if he doesn't see an opening to slide through will sit down to avoid contact.

24. Indianapolis Colts - Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington (5'11"-190)

Bloodlines are NFL quality, but Desmond is his own man...equally effective in either man or zone coverages and loves him a little contact, particularly in run defense. Times his leaps well and fights for the ball and shows competitiveness. The Colts have other holes to fill, but won't be able to resist this athlete in their secondary.

Patriots perspective: What's not to like? However, as it appears that the Patriots will be able to resign Aqib Talib and most likely will have Alfonzo Dennard back after his brush with the law, and there are other needs. His name has been connected to the Patriots by many draft experts and is a wonderful fit should the Talib/Dennard scenario not come to fruition.

25. Seattle Seahawks - Terrence Williams, WR, Baylor (6'2"-200)

The Seahawks have it all and don't have a true hole to fill anywhere...so, what to do? Simple, get Wilson a big wide out who wants the ball. Ask him, he'll tell you. Not explosive speed, but adjusts route to flow underneath the ball and catch it in stride, and with a guy like Wilson who loves to air it out? Sounds like NFC favorites to me.

Patriots perspective: The Boldin type presence that the Patriots would need to replace Brandon Lloyd should New England release him as expected. Seattle is a wild card here because they have no significant holes and are looking for gems as eventual starters, but depth for now.

26. Green Bay Packers - Eric Reid, FS, LSU (6'1"-215)

Incredible fit in the Packers secondary with the release of the aging Woodson. Has LaRon Landry type intangibles and may be the most violent hitter in the draft. If he plays under control and within the system he could fill a huge need for Green Bay.

Patriots perspective: If the Patriots truly are seeking a safety with nasty intentions, this is the dude - though he has a propensity to take high shots which will earn him both penalties and fines and perhaps injuries in the NFL. The right team will be able to make him a team player and cause him to play within the system.

27. Houston Texans - Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU (6'1"-245)He's a instinctive inside defender, very intelligent and his leadership value is through the roof and works best in a front seven that allows him to roam inside in space. Gives up his body but isn't the biggest hitter. His value is in chasing down the play and moving laterally along the line of scrimmage which makes him perfect for Houston's scheme. Is efficient in pass coverage and a good blitzer as well.

Patriots' perspective: New England is pretty much set as far as inside backers are concerned, though he is a decent Mike prospect. I believe the Patriots would pass on him.

28. Denver Broncos - Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State (6'3"-320)

The kind of player that causes a play to stop in it's tracks, and what he can't get to, he redirects just by presence. A big bully that truly doesn't like his opponent. So why isn't he the first player taken? A knee issue for one...and has a habit of making poor decisions on the field, leading to penalties and being occasionally out of position. Is durable nonetheless, but conditioning is a bit worrisome as he tends to wear down. When he's on his game, he demands double and triple teams.

Patriots perspective: A big body that would fit in a tackle rotation, though not as conditioned as the position would require. Not as consistently disruptive as the Patriots are used to with Vince Wilfork and has been that way since coming to Ohio State as the next big thing out of high school. A project that may or may not respond to motivation.

29. New England Patriots - Alec Ogletree, OLB, Georgia (6'3"-240)Perhaps the most exciting linebacker prospect in the draft - but has some legitimate red flags as well. Makes plays all over the field, is quick around the edge and arrives at the quarterback and running back in a bad mood. He's a former safety which speaks to his athleticism, and also tells a story of decent coverage skills. He's not doing himself any favors, however, but getting nailed for DUI this past weekend. Add that to his suspension for violation of the school's substance abuse policy and you wonder about his decision making abilities...

Patriots' perspective: In light of the increased opportunity for Belichick to re-sign Talib and Dennard reportedly getting off soft from slugging a cop, my previous pick of cornerback Jonathan Banks has been replaced by the one player that could alleviate New England's coverage struggles with Tight Ends and running backs. If he is not there at 29, look for the Patriots to trade down, which they may do anyway.

30. Atlanta Falcons - Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama (5'10"-220)Michael Turner is wearing down, so why not bring in a clone to replace him? Not as fast as Turner, but has the leg drive, tenacity and violent finishing move that will served him well as a load-carrying feature back with the Falcons. They also have eyes on Tight End Zach Ertz out of Stanford as an option in the event Tony Gonzalez is gone.

Patriots perspective: How many running backs do the Patriots need with this size? He would compliment the running game as a finisher and short yardage back, but can't see this as an area of need for New England.

31. Kansas City Chiefs (via trade w/ San Francisco) - Terron Armstead, OT, Arkansas Pine Bluff (6'5"-305)

Intelligent athlete with excellent mirroring capabilities, but less than overpowering run blocking capacities. Has Gronkowski speed and is a prime candidate to be a Tackle eligible playmaker if Andy Reid so desires. Tremendous upside despite lack of elite competition in college.

Patriots' perspective: If he were more of a capable run blocker, this would be an excellent need pick if Vollmer is not resigned. A bit of a reach for a Chiefs team with many needs, but a trade down with the 49ers puts them in a "best athlete available" scenario, and Armstead could turn into a surprise gem.

32. Baltimore Ravens - Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame (6'2"-255)

Football smart and as loyal as they come, Te'o possesses the same build as departed Ray Lewis, though no one can match Lewis' intangibles. That being said, why not bring in a guy who has weathered his share of controversy, head held high? A good athlete who is instinctive and delivers a pop, is a decent open field tackler and is usually in the right place at the right time. Remains to be seen if his man of integrity and team leader attributes translate to the pros, but he's got big enough shoulders to carry the weight of filling some very heavy shoes.

Patriots perspective: No. As with Minter, the Patriots have plenty of inside linebackers and decent depth. Would be a wasteful pick for a team that has bigger needs.

New England Patriots on Paper: Wes Welker, don't drop this ball

Tom Brady has set a precedent.

Not a precedent for how much money a player should ask for, nor for how a man should approach his financial obligations.  The pecedent that Tom Brady set was a new standard for the term "The Patriot Way", and what it means to put team first while ensuring he recieved reasonable compensation.

The question comes to mind through this process is how come Tom Brady's agent, Don Yee, could get this deal done for Brady and Wes Welker's agent can't?

Does a player's agent work for the player, or does the player work for the agent.  This is an important question to answer because in the case of Patriots Nation v. Wes Welker, the question can not be left as ambiguous as it seems to be with football fans...so that question remains:

Who works for whom?

Sports Illustrated's Peter King answers the question quite forcefully, as far as Brady goes anyway, in his Monday Morning Quarterback: Tuesday edition article, posted this morning:

"he's working for Brady, and he does what Brady wants him to do. Will the contract be used against Yee by his peers if they ever compete for a player? Absolutely. But the thing I have admired about Yee is that he doesn't care what other people think. He cares about what his client thinks."

Reports are now flowing out of Foxboro that optimism is high that Welker and the Patriots are going to be able to get a three year deal done before the start of free agency....which is cool, I suppose, but what has changed?






Last season, Welker hid behind his agent, David Dunn, last offseason, then emerged from the weeds to sign the franchise tag so fast that the ink on the contract didn't have time to dry.



Peter King made a very astute observation in his Monday Morning Quarterback - Tuesday edition this morning column

Now if Welker doesn't play ball, not only will he be playing for another team, but also he will become the scourge of New England, the guy that dropped the ball - not just once in the Super Bowl, not just a second time in last season's AFC title game, but a third time when his friend resturctured his own contract to give the team room to negotiate with him - and he passed on the opportunity.


4. The role of the agent. It's likely you don't know Don Yee. He's been an agent for more than two decades, and a very reputable one. Already, I hear the whispers and the charges that Yee made a bad deal; what in God's name is he doing signing Brady for such a relative pittance? I'll tell you why. Because he's working for Brady, and he does what Brady wants him to do. Will the contract be used against Yee by his peers if they ever compete for a player? Absolutely. But the thing I have admired about Yee is that he doesn't care what other people think. He cares about what his client thinks. And Brady clearly was on board for doing a sub-market deal if it meant the Patriots could be bigger players in free agency than they'd been scheduled to be. If Brady asked Yee to get him every last dime from New England, that's what Yee would have done. But he wanted to do something to help the team, and Yee, working with the Krafts, got it done the way Brady wanted. Regardless what the outside world thinks, Yee did the best job for his player. Which is why Brady has Yee for his representative.

Read More: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/nfl/news/20130226/tom-brady-new-england-patriots/#ixzz2M2PeWfXH

New England Patriots on Paper: Potential juggernaut now well financed

When Bob Kraft got tired of all the lawyers gunking things up during the great NFL lockout of 2011, he intervened, sent all of the lawyers away and dealt with the matter mano-a-mano with the NFL and the player's union, setting in motion a series of events that was certain to benefit both sides if they did things they way they were supposed to be done.

For the teams, that meant keeping to a flat cap for the ensueing three seasons, at which time the new television contract kicks in and the cap would rise incrimentally and accordingly.

Some teams did, some teams kinda did, and some flat out dismissed fiscal responsibility...and those teams can be readily identified by their personnel actions this offseason.

Now if Welker doesn't play ball, not only will he be playing for another team, but also he will become the scourge of New England, the guy that dropped the ball - not once in the Super Bowl, not twice in last season's AFC title game, but a third time when his friend resturctured his own contract to give the team room to negotiate with him.

New England Patriots on Paper: Black Ops?

Deep in the bowels of Gillette Stadium, Robert Kraft waits in a shadowy corner for Tom Brady to arrive - both wearing trench coats and dark sunglasses, a fine leather breifcase dangling from Kraft's gloved hand...

The Patriots are known to be a secretive bunch, and Bill Belichick has been known to engage in covert activities - so any move that the team makes is going to met with skepticism and paranoia...such is the tangled web the Patriots have woven for themselves...

...so when news emerged that Patriots quarterback Tom Brady had signed a new extension that literally pays him less than half of the going rate for a player of his stature and tenure, conspiracy theorists crawled out of their holes like zombies, proclaiming dark malfeasance.

There absolutely has to be a handshake deal going on here, they say, like a briefcase full of laundered cash, because there's no way that a man that could command the highest salary in the NFL is going to settle for the deal he just signed without there being something dark on the side.

That's just the way our world is. No one takes a hit in the wallet like that - but isn't it just possible that Brady is doing a solid for his team and his teammates and giving Bill Belichick what amounts to carte blanche when shopping for free agents? Does there really have to be a secret deal?

According to documentation, Brady's deal includes a $30 million signing bonus that will come in four seperate payments (not in a brown paper bag) that extends through 2015, starting with a $10 million payment as soon as he signs the extension.

Under the old contract, he was scheduled to make roughly $10 million in each of the next two seasons, but under the new extension, his salary is $1 million for 2013 and $2 million for 2014, plus two more bonus checks of $5 and $10 million during the 2014 season. 

Blah, blah, blah; money, money, money...

Enough about money. All that is left to ponder is what the Patriots are going to do with the extra cap space. For certain, they will try to resign what they've already had, but the resturcturing of Brady's deal does far more than give the team extra cap space - it gives them leverage in negotiations.

Many teams are in the process of releasing good players, the result of overspending and backloading deals. Smart teams like the Patriots who will not overpay are circling these teams like vultures waiting for the teams to throw out the meat that they can no longer afford, and the number of carcasses waiting to be consumed is staggering - and will drive down the asking prices in free agency...

...and now suddenly here sits Bill Belichick with what was already one of the best teams in the NFL and now with a bag full of cash and what promises to be top shelf talent in his price range - and for a leverage junkie like the enigmatic head coach, he's going to be like a kid in a candy store.

New England Patriots: Brady takes one for the team...time for free agents to follow suit

Taking one for the team just took on a whole new meaning.

Sure fire Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady has agreed to a 3 year, 27 million dollar contract extension that will ensure that the two time MVP will retire a Patriot - and will give the team immediate cap dollars to use, to the tune of 8 million this season and 7 million in 2014.

Add that to the cap space the Patriots were working with before the agreement and you have a Super Bowl quality team getting ready to hit free agency loaded for bear.

The numbers are all well and fine and will be documented ad nauseum, but what this does is sets precedent - good or bad, depending on your point of view. Brady essentially did the same thing back in 2005, with the idea of freeing up cap space to promote the continuation of the Patriots' Dynasty.

To Patriots' fans and players, it is a gesture of benevolence that Brady hopes will lead to signings that will help the Patriots win more rings...

...but to the general NFL community, he is being vastly underpaid - so much so that many on social media are concerned that it could potentially have an impact on "Elite" quarterbacks negotiating free agent contracts - which is neither here nor there, because Brady is a special case and should be viewed as such.

This is about the rings, but also sends a message to the Patriots "Big Three" free agents that Brady has sacrificed his salary so that the team can sign them, and they should also try to see things from the "for the good of the team" mentality.

But if these players don't see things the same way, this at least gives the Patriots the cap dollars to find their replacements, but if Brady is doing this to bring more titles to Foxboro, wouldn't you think they'd want to be around for the ride?

Talk about putting a little pressure on your teammates? Notice how I didn't say "peer" pressure, because Tom Brady has no peer in the business.

New England Patriots: Post-combine Mock Draft 1-16

Editor's note: The confirmation of the Alex Smith trade from San Francisco to Kansas City was made today, and though the 49ers have now 15 picks in the 2013, they are going to be major players in the draft...to the point where I reported a few days ago?  Perhaps not the 1st pick, but I'm going to honor my original thoughts

Now that the Combine is done and we've seen all the hype we're likely to see, I am convinced of one thing:  The San Francisco 49ers are about to blow up the 2013 Draft...

...and be as they already have 14 picks in the draft, their actions are likely to throw the entire process into turmoil.

San Francisco has put themselves in a predicament where they have two starting quality quarterbacks on their roster and can not afford to keep both and still hope to retain their own free agents, and since Alex Smith and his 8.5 million dollar contact are riding the pine in favor of the sensational Colin Kaepernick they are going to have to compromise and deal his rights to the highest bidder before April Fool's Day....

...and the closer it gets to that deadline, the more the scenario favors Kansas City - because the 49ers can not have him on the books on April 1st, when his contract money becomes guaranteed for 2013, unless they intend to keep him.

Teams can consummate trades at the start of the 2013 NFL business year, which begins on March 12th.

The Kansas City Chiefs want Alex Smith, but San Francisco 49ers' coach Jim Harbaugh says that the team won't release him, so any team that wants the former 1st overall pick in the draft will have to cough up a compensation package worthy of a ready made starter - which means draft picks...and the only quarterback needy teams with enough draft ammo to pull it off is the Chiefs and Jaguars.

Well, there's also the Cardinals, but there's no way the Niners trade Smith to a division rival, and given the fact that new Jags owner Shad Kahn has instructed his employees that they are to build through the draft and developing young players, that leaves the Chiefs.

A second rounder starts the conversation, and Kansas City owns the 2nd pick of the 2nd round, which is essentially like a 1st rounder in this deep draft, so the deal will probably get done there. But that's not where this ends - the fact remains that the Chiefs need many more things besides a franchise quarterback, they are also going to be looking for a few extra draft picks by trading out of the #1 overall pick.

So the rich get richer - One could see the scenario of the 49ers trading Smith and their 1st round pick to the Chiefs for the #1 overall and the Chiefs' 2nd rounder...which means that the 49ers get the #1 pick in the draft, the 34th and also their own second rounder, the 61st pick in the draft while the Chiefs get their Franchise Quarterback and retain a 1st round pick and pick up an extra 3rd rounder in the process.

Confusing?  Welcome to my twisted view of the NFL Draft...

1. San Francisco 49ers -  Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah (6'3"-320)

Fast and explosive burst off the snap. Possesses the rare lateral agility to slip through gaps and ruin plays before they even have a chance to begin. Strong anchor and powerful hands allow him to literally toss offensive linemen aside, despite size can also be considered as a five-technique defensive end.  Was not allowed to participate at the combine due to a just-discovered heart condition for which he will be seeing a specialist this week, but if given a clean bill of health, this is the pick.

Patriots perspective: Would team with Wilfork, Armstead, Cunningham and Francis to form an imposing interior defense.  Will heart issue cause him to drop that far?  Would the Patriots take the chance?

2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Barkeveous Mingo, DE, Louisiana State (6'4"-240)

As noted by several scouts, looks more the part of a small forward in Basketball, but is an exceptional pass rushing talent with plenty of room to grow. Is explosive off of the snap, has exceptional closing speed and aware enough to know when he can't get to the quarterback and get his hands up. May be asked to attempt the outside linebacker position, but is expected to be a great pass rusher regardless of title.

Patriots perspective: Mature and football smart, the Patriots would love to get hold of Mingo, though his forte is rushing from where Chandler Jones is already established...an interesting problem to have...

3. Oakland Raiders - Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida (6'3"-305)

Chiseled athlete and a run-stuffing presence in the middle. Flashes a terrific initial burst off the snap and acceleration to get past hand blocks, and has incredible hands which he loves to use fighting off linemen and swimming to the ball. He is raw, but has the potential to be a dominant tackle.

Patriots perspective: See the perspective on Lotulelei, adding that Floyd is a more raw prospect, but possibly would rise to the top pick in the draft were there concerns involving Lotulelei's potential heart issue.


4. Philadelphia Eagles - Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M (6'6"-310)

Impressive more for his poise and maturity than technique, which is excellent. Doesn't get flustered and plays with patience, keeping his wits about him and doing what is needed to keep the defender away from the quarterback. Can handle speed or bull rushers with equal success, laterally quick and Prototypical sized and mobile and blocks effectively in the power game and at the second level.

Patriots perspective: There is not a need for a left tackle but a tackle with all of the intangibles would cause the Patriots to shift...well, nevermind.  There's no way he's getting past the Eagles...

5. Detroit Lions - Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State (6'4"-255)

Outstanding strength, is a difference maker for a team that tries to reestablish the pocket in the opponent's backfield. Can play it whichever way you want, he can finesse you with speed and bend or bull rush you with an inside out move. Perhaps the most instinctive pass rushers in the draft.

Patriots' perspective: Dominant pass rush and a perfect bookend to team with Chandler Jones, yet we don't see Werner making it out of the top 5.

6. Cleveland Browns - Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M (6'4"-250)

Accomplished pass rusher with a variety of moves, impressive speed and closing burst in the pass rush, solid at setting the edge in the run game but could use more muscle mass to inside assignment - instinctive in pass coverage and tackles with a purpose - projects into a 3 down , multiple tool pass rusher that can drop into coverage with agility and awareness regardless of scheme.

Patriots' perspective:  What's not to like?  The man is a package deal rush end/coverage linebacker that just needs to add a little muscle.  Again, no way he makes it to #29.

7. Arizona Cardinals - Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan (6'7"-305)

Has the nasty streak to rival his athletic prowess, mirrors defenders and breaks down to take their angles away, strong in the running game and very smooth in pass protection and could handle both left or right tackle spots in the NFL. Many are projecting that the Cardinals will go with a quarterback here, but new head coach Bruce Arians has publicly stated that he is going to work with what he has in Kevin Kolb and Brian Hoyer. Having Fisher to protect their blindside will help them relax a bit.

Patriots perspective: Would be a keen replacement for Sebastian Vollmer if lost in free agency, but doubtful he would fall that far.

8. Buffalo Bills - Keenan Allen, WR, California (6'3"-210)

Natural big play receiver who lacks elite speed but has many different gears and incredible body control. Attacks the ball in the air. Is as precise a route runner as has come out of college recently and is equally effective outside and in the slot. Creates separation and can switch to an extra gear when he gets in the open field. Another team that experts feel needs a quarterback, but what they really need are more receiving weapons for Fitzgerald.

Patriots perspective: Perfect for the Patriots passing game. Could envision him one one side, Lloyd on the other and Hernandez in the slot with Gronkowski down the seem and Vereen or Demps in the flat. If he drops as far as the low 20's would be a value move, but an unlikely scenario.

9. New York Jets - Ezekial Ansah, OLB, Brigham Young (6'5"-275)

Another in the line of annual "JPP" clones, possesses rare skill, size and agility and closes to the quarterback with unrivaled quickness. His hits have been described as "Shockwaves" and his initial burst to the quarterback isn't the fastest but may be the most violent in the draft. If there is a knock on him it's that he relies on speed and technique alone and needs to put on some muscle.

Patriots perspective: A cross section of Chandler Jones length and Dont'a Hightower's burst, would be an outstanding bookend to Jones and would allow Hightower to play more stunts to the inside where he would benefit from his size and running start on the blitz.

10. Tennessee Titans - Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama (6'1"-200)

A ballhawk, is excellent when the ball is in the air, turns head well and locates the ball, then has the ability to get body in position to make the play, at his best in tight quarters attacking the receiver off the line and delivers heft in his tackles.

Patriots perspective: Again, it would take a miracle for him to drop to the end of the 1st round - and if he did, you'd have to be suspect. Is an excellent corner that could play some safety in the system given his instincts and violent nature on the football field.

11. San Diego Chargers - Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma (6'6"-300)A nice combination of smooth lateral movement and a nasty disposition that will serve him well in the NFC West against some of the top defenses in the NFL. Long arms and sturdy legs and a strong upper body to hold pass rushers at bay. Started college career as a Tight End and has only player tackle for two years, so his upside is tremendous.

Patriots perspective: Has many of the same attributes as Nate Solder, along with the nasty streak of Vollmer...how can you not like that?

12. Miami Dolphins, Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee (6'3"-205)

Still kind of a raw prospect but the upside is worth the selection for a Dolphins team that needs receivers. Very physical down the field, and once the ball is in his hands is one of the smoothest playmakers in the class. Very strong going up after the ball and is precise in route running but could use some work on disengaging and creating separation without pushing off.

Patriots perspective: Another big reciever that is absolutely the growing trend in the league.  He would fit in perfectly in the power game that New England is looking to employ by providing the deep threat that would force the oppositions' defense to defend the entire field.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State (6'1"-220)

The Buccaneers need a replacement for Aqib Talib and Rhodes could be a clone without the baggage. Very aggressive - sometimes too aggressive - in man coverage, but not aggressive enough in run support. Is powerfully built and attacks the ball in the air. Knows when to look back for the ball and is considered a ball hawk.

Patriots perspective: This guy is all over the board in mock drafts, but if he comes to New England at #29 they'd have to consider making him a Patriot...He's as close to can't miss as the Pats have seen in corners in the draft in quite a while.

14. Carolina Panthers - Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama (6'3"-320)

Low center of gravity conducive to holding up at the point of attack. Unreal strength, use of leverage and technique. Played defensive end in his junior year before sliding inside for his senior year, excellent quickness and real aggression and can double as a short yardage fullback, which he has done well with in the past.

Patriots' perspective: Has the versatility that Bill Belichick desires, and there's every chance he could slip that far.  Question is, will the Patriots still be at 29 if he got there?  Would the tackle position take precedence over bigger needs?


15. New Orleans Saints - Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon (6'6"-245)

Has the body and endurance of a basketball player and will need to add muscle mass but has a rare combination of size, skill and motor. Violent hitter and has the athleticism to drop into coverage, even covering the slot at times. A former tight end, has huge hands that he uses well to combat offensive linemen. A bit of a hot head, but plays within himself most of the time.

Patriots' Perspective: In the Jones mold, long and lean and never gives up on a play and has the versatility to cover the slot?  Please, that's too good to be true, isn't it?  Would fit into the line immediately and allow supreme front seven scheme versatility.

16. St. Louis Rams - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas (6'1"-220)

Prototypical Free Safety size with the pop of a strong safety, brings the wood in run support and has outstanding coverage skills, particularly in the slot where he has shown the strength to jam routes and take the reciever out of the play, and is more a nickleback in that sense, but given his run support makes him an excellent free safety prospect.

Patriots perspective: Has the versatility that is required of Belichick's system, and brings in one package what Chung and Gregory can not combined: Solid tackler who wraps up cleanly though sometimes is prone to going for the big hit when he should just wrap up. Has speed and instincts and pops people in the mouth. Great fit if he falls to 29.

New England Patriots: Mock draft from a Patriots perspective 17-32

I wrote a few weeks back the the Patriots would trade their 1st round pick to a team desperate to move back up into the round, supposedly to select a quarterback - the only problem being that as I constructed this initial mock draft for 2013, I put just one quarterback as being a first round pick (Geno Smith to Philadelphia at number 4 overall), which doesn't bode well for my theory...

...however, I going to stick by that theory. But since the offseason evaluation process is still in it's infancy and there is much to be determined in the coming weeks, so I eshewed the trade talk for now and found my beloved Patriots a cornerback that can't miss.

Uh huh. Where have we heard that before?

The Patriots generally have not had the best of luck in selecting defensive backs in the draft - and to be honest, the one really special corner that they drafted was by dumb luck in having Alfonzo Dennard fall all the way off everyone's draft board except theirs. And they do have an excellent free safety in former corner Devin McCourty whom they drafted, so perhaps I should backtrack?

Naw. It's been crappy.

However, in the past few years Bill Belichick has brought in names like Mayo, Jones, Spikes and Hightower through the draft and have built an imposing front seven, teaming with the likes of Wilfork and Ninkovich...

...and now, it's the secondary's turn. At least until we get past the combine and pro days and get some solid evaluations then , who knows? Keep an eye on names like Cyprien and Kahseem Greene as second round finds as well.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama (6'3"-320)

The final piece to the defensive line - low center of gravity conducive to holding up at the point of attack. Unreal strength, use of leverage and technique. Played defensive end in his junior year before sliding inside for his senior year, excellent quickness and real aggression and can double as a short yardage fullback, which he has done well with in the past.

18. Dallas Cowboys - Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama (6'2"-325)

Should be a contestant on Dancing with the Stars with his light feet, but there would be a real fear among his dance partner that they'd get pancaked. Eliminates folks in the running game and has a devestating initial punch to counter bull rushers. Not a better interior lineman in the draft - not by a long shot.

19. New York Giants - Sharif Floyd, DT, Florida (6'3"-305)

A prime candidate to replace recently released Chris Canty - Chiseled athlete and a run-stuffing presence in the middle. Flashes a terrific initial burst off the snap and acceleration to get past hand blocks, and has incredible hands which he loves to use fighting off linemen and swimming to the ball. He is raw, but has the potential to be a dominant tackle.

20. Chicago Bears - D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama (6'5"-355)

The Bears would have to decide where to use Fluker, whether at Right Tackle or Guard, but either way he is perfect for their power running game, and is a capable pass blocker though his forte is being an enormous road grader. A big, powerful man that could help protect Cutler, who tends to roll to his right when stepping out of the pocket.

21. Cincinnati Bengals - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia (5'9"-175)

Many needs on offense if the Bengals are ever going to get out of the first round of the playoffs. We could definitely see an Eddy Lacy taken here as well, but the feeling is that Andy Dalton needs a home run hitter opposite A.J. Green to really open up the offense, and Austin has home run hitter written all over him, whether in the slot or lined up wide or even out of the backfield.

Patriots outlook: If Austin lasted until the 29th pick, the Patriots would be tempted to pick up this jitterbug...doubt he'll fall that far...Besides, redshirted speedster Jeff Demps is already on the roster and if used properly will provide the same style impact.


22. St. Louis Rams - Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma (6'6"-300)

A nice combination of smooth lateral movement and a nasty disposition that will serve him well in the NFC West against some of the top defenses in the NFL. Long arms and sturdy legs and a strong upper body to hold pass rushers at bay. Started college career as a Tight End and has only player tackle for two years, so his upside is tremendous.

23. Minnesota Vikings - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson (6'1"-200)

Skill set favors comparisons to Reggie Wayne, attacks the ball in the air and looks to create yards after the catch. Isn't real tough and can be taken down easily - if the defenders can catch him. Very illusive after the catch as if he had a schematic for the defense...a legitimate threat for Christian to Ponder.

24. Indianapolis Colts - Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington (5'11"-190)

Bloodlines are NFL quality, but Desmond is his own man...equally effective in either man or zone coverages and loves him a little contact, particularly in run defense. Times his leaps well and fights for the ball and shows competitiveness. The Colts have other holes to fill, but won't be able to resist this athlete in their secondary.

25. Seattle Seahawks - Terrence Williams, WR, Baylor (6'2"-200)

The Seahawks have it all and don't have a true hole to fill anywhere...so, what to do? Simple, get Wilson a big wide out who wants the ball. Ask him, he'll tell you. Not explosive speed, but adjusts route to flow underneath the ball and catch it in stride, and with a guy like Wilson who loves to air it out? Sounds like NFC favorites to me.

26. Green Bay Packers - Alec Ogletree, OLB, Georgia (6'3"-240)

Perhaps the most exciting linebacker prospect in the draft - but has some legitimate red flags as well. Makes plays all over the field, is quick around the edge and arrives at the quarterback and running back in a bad mood. He's a former safety which speaks to his athleticism, and also tells a story of decent coverage skills. He's not doing himself any favors, however, but getting nailed for DUI this past weekend. Add that to his suspension for violation of the school's substance abuse policy and you wonder about his decision making abilities...Green Bay is a great organization to help him through his issues.

27. Houston Texans - Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU (6'1"-245)

He's a instinctive inside defender, very intelligent and his leadership value is through the roof and works best in a front seven that allows him to roam inside in space. Gives up his body but isn't the biggest hitter. His value is in chasing down the play and moving laterally along the line of scrimmage which makes him perfect for Houston's scheme. Is efficient in pass coverage and a good blitzer as well.

28. Denver Broncos - Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State (6'3"-320)

The kind of player that causes a play to stop in it's track, and what he can't get to, he redirects just by presence. A big bully that truly doesn't like his opponent. So why isn't he the first player taken? A knee issue for one...and has a habit of making poor decisions on the field, leading to penalties and being occasionally out of position. Is durable nonetheless, but conditioning is a bit worrisome as he tends to wear down. When he's on his game, he demands double and triple teams.

29. New England Patriots - Jonathan Banks, CB, Mississippi State (6'1"-185)

Banks is likely to earn the nickname "Super Glue" from Patriots' fans, because his greatest trait is to stick to his receiver like glue - he looks back and locates the ball and is fluid enough to pivot, turn his hips and attack the ball in the air in one motion. Is a tremendous ball hawk and loves the physical nature of run defense. This pick is in anticipation of the team losing Aqib Talib in free agency, but it Talib stays, the pick could go to Kahseem Green, a coverage linebacker out of Rutgers.

30. Atlanta Falcons - Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama (5'10"-220)

Michael Turner is wearing down, so why not bring in a clone to replace him? Not as fast as Turner, but has the leg drive, tenacity and violent finishing move that will served him well as a load-carrying feature back with the Falcons. They also have eyes on Tight End Zach Ertz out of Stanford as an option in the event Tony Gonzalez is gone.

31. San Francisco 49ers - Johnathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia (6'4"-360)

Much has been made of the gaps that Baltimore was able to create in the interior of the 49ers defense in the Super Bowl, hence a man who is a virtual immovable object. Has explosiveness off the snap to push the line backwards and reestablish the line of scrimmage. Gets good leverage and has excellent strength and is versatile, playing nose tackle defensive tackle and defensive end at Georgia.

32. Baltimore Ravens - Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame (6'2"-255)

Football smart and as loyal as they come, Te'o possesses the same build as departed Ray Lewis, though no one can match Lewis' intangibles. That being said, why not bring in a guy who has weathered his share of controversy, head held high? A good athlete who is instinctive and believers a pop, is a good open field tackler and is usually in the right place at the right time. Remains to be seen if his man of integrity and team leader attributes translate to the pros, but he's got big enough shoulders to carry the weight of filling some very heavy shoes.

New England Patriots: Mock Draft from a Patriots' perspective 1-16

via Foxboro Forum Draft Central

The Kansas City Chiefs will not draft a Quarterback with their first overall pick in the 2013 Draft.

There, that cat is out of the bag, and this move could help the woeful featherheads contenders in the AFC West this upcoming season...Andy Reid is the new Sheriff in town, and he brings a different outlook to Kansas City.

For one, he's not going to draft a Quarterback when he can get his own 2nd day selection from last season, Nick Foles, by making a phone call and giving up a 4th or a 5th rounder, which leaves Reid with just an offensive line to be concerned with...and I say "just' because the draft is deep with tackles and couple of first day guards that could very likely slip to the second day.

The second possibility is that Reid pursues Alex Smith, the jilted ex-49ers starting quarterback who is likely to be released by the club if they can not find a potential suitor before the trade deadline. For certain, the 49ers will not do business with division rival and quarterback desperate Arizona, which leaves Jacksonville, Buffalo and Kansas City as potential trade partners, but his 8.5 million dollar salary is likely to be too much for any of those teams to absorb.

There is always a trade possibility, but suitors for the top spot in the draft are slim before the combine, but let's go with poetic irony and say that the only team that the Chiefs could make a deal with is their cross state brethren, St. Louis...but let's not get into that until we see what the combine brings.

1. Kansas City Chiefs - Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M (6'6"-310)

It is apparent that the Chiefs are going to need a new left tackle since incumbent Branden Albert has medical issues...Impressive more for his poise and maturity than technique, which is excellent. Doesn't get flustered and plays with patience, keeping his wits about him and doing what is needed to keep the defender away from the quarterback. Can handle speed or bull rushers with equal success, laterally quick and Prototypically sized and mobile and blocks effectively in the power game and at the second level.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M (6'4"-250)
Accomplished pass rusher with a variety of moves, impressive speed and closing burst in the pass rush, solid at setting the edge in the run game but could use more muscle mass to inside assignment - instinctive in pass coverage and tackles with a purpose - projects into a 3 down , multiple tool pass rusher that can drop into coverage with agility and awareness regardless of scheme.

3. Oakland Raiders - Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State (6'4"-255)

Outstanding strength, is a difference maker for a team that tries to reestablish the pocket in the opponent's backfield. Can play it whichever way you want, he can finesse you with speed and bend or bull rush you with an inside out move. Perhaps the most instinctual pass rushers in the draft.

4. Philadelphia Eagles - Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia (6'3"-220)

Philadelphia gets a gift when Alex Smith signs with Kansas City in that Geno Smith falls to them. Questions abound about his mental toughness, but there is little doubt that the athletic Smith is a has everything it takes to run Chip Kelley's read option. He has a strong arm and can make all of the throws, now he needs legitimate NFL coaching and he should blossom with experience.

5. Detroit Lions - Barkeveous Mingo, DE, Louisiana State (6'4"-240)

As noted by several scouts, looks more the part of a small forward in Basketball, but is an exceptional pass rushing talent with plenty of room to grow. Is explosive off of the snap, has exceptional closing speed and aware enough to know when he can't get to the quarterback and get his hands up. May be asked to attempt the outside linebacker position, but is expected to be a great pass rusher regardless of title.

6. Cleveland Browns - Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia (6'2"-240)

Rare athlete with prototypical talent and a non-stop motor, explosive and coordinated, incredibly strong and violent hands to both shed blockers and rip ball few from quarterbacks and running backs - one of those guys that you just have to watch play to appreciate. Words really do not do him justice.

7. Arizona Cardinals - Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan (6'7"-305)

Has the nasty streak to rival his athletic prowess, mirrors defenders and breaks down to take their angles away, strong in the running game and very smooth in pass protection and could handle both left or right tackle spots in the NFL. Many are projecting that the Cardinals will go with a quarterback here, but new head coach Bruce Arians has publicly stated that he is going to work with what he has in Kevin Kolb and Brian Hoyer. Having Fisher to protect their blindside will help them relax a bit.

Patriots outlook: Would be a keen replacement for Sebastian Vollmer if lost in free agency, but doubtful he would fall that far.

8. Buffalo Bills - Keenan Allen, WR, California (6'3"-210)

Natural big play receiver who lacks elite speed but has many different gears and incredible body control. Attacks the ball in the air. Is as precise a route runner as has come out of college recently and is equally effective outside and in the slot. Creates separation and can switch to an extra gear when he gets in the open field. Another team that experts feel needs a quarterback, but what they really need are more receiving weapons for Fitzgerald.

Patriots Outlook: Perfect for the Patriots passing game. Could envision him one one side, Lloyd on the other and Hernandez in the slot with Gronkowski down the seem and Vereen or Demps in the flat. If he drops as far as the low 20's would be a value move, but an unlikely scenario.

9. New York Jets - Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah (6'3"-320)

Fast and explosive burst off the snap. Possesses the rare lateral agility to slip through gaps and ruin plays before they even have a chance to begin. Strong anchor and powerful hands allow him to literally toss offensive linemen aside, despite size can also be considered as a five-technique defensive end.

10. Tennessee Titans - Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama (6'1"-200)

A ballhawk, is excellent when the ball is in the air, turns head well and locates the ball, then has the ability to get body in position to make the play, at his best in tight quarters attacking the receiver off the line and delivers heft in his tackles.

Patriots outlook: Again, it would take a miracle for him to drop to the end of the 1st round - and if he did, you'd have to be suspect. Is an excellent corner that could play some safety in the system given his instincts and violent nature on the football field.

11. San Diego Chargers - Ezekial Ansah, OLB, Brigham Young (6'5"-275)

Another in the line of annual "JPP" clones, possesses rare skill, size and agility and closes to the quarterback with unrivaled quickness. His hits have been described as "Shockwaves" and his initial burst to the quarterback isn't the fastest but may be the most violent in the draft. If there is a knock on him it's that he relies on speed and technique alone and needs to put on some muscle.

Patriots outlook: A cross section of Chandler Jones length and Dont'a Hightower's burst, would be an outstanding bookend to Jones and would allow Hightower to play more stunts to the inside where he would benefit from his size and running start on the blitz.

12. Miami Dolphins, Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee (6'3"-205)

Still kind of a raw prospect but the upside is worth the selection for a Dolphins team that needs receivers. Very physical down the field, and once the ball is in his hands is one of the smoothest playmakers in the class. Very strong going up after the ball and is precise in route running but could use some work on disengaging and creating separation without pushing off.


13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State (6'1"-220)

The Buccaneers need a replacement for Aqib Talib and Rhodes could be a clone without the baggage. Very aggressive - sometimes too aggressive - in man coverage, but not aggressive enough in run support. Is powerfully built and attacks the ball in the air. Knows when to look back for the ball and is considered a ball hawk.

Patriots outlook: This guy is all over the board in mock drafts, but if he comes to New England at #29 they'd have to consider making him a Patriot...He's as close to can't miss as the Pats have seen in corners in the draft in quite a while.

14. Carolina Panthers - Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri (6'3"-300)

Can reestablish the line of scrimmage with his superior push, or has the athleticism to drop back into coverage, his vision and instincts are his best traits as he regularly disrupts plays before they get a chance to get properly started. Very athletic for his size.

Patriots outlook: Almost word for word what was being said about Vince Wilfork coming out of school and turned out to be the most dominant defensive tackle in the game. This draft is so deep in defensive tackles that Richardson could drop to where the Patriots could snag him.


15. New Orleans Saints - Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon (6'6"-245)

Has the body and endurance of a basketball player and will need to add muscle mass but has a rare combination of size, skill and motor. Violent hitter and has the athleticism to drop into coverage, even covering the slot at times. A former tight end, has huge hands that he uses well to combat offensive linemen. A bit of a hot head, but plays within himself most of the time.

16. St. Louis Rams - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas (6'1"-220)

Prototypical Free Safety size with the pop of a strong safety, brings the wood in run support and has outstanding coverage skills, particularly in the slot where he has shown the strength to jam routes and take the reciever out of the play, and is more a nickleback in that sense, but given his run support makes him an excellent free safety prospect.

Patriots outlook: Has the versatility that is required of Belichick's system, but brings in one package what Chung and Gregory can not combined: Solid tackler who wraps up cleanly though sometimes is prone to going for the big hit when he should just wrap up. Has speed and instincts and pops people in the mouth. Great fit if he falls to 29.

As we get further into the 1st round, the Patriots' perspective will take hold more and more. The question is whether the athlete that Bill Belichick wants is going to be there for him at 29, or is he going to trade down and go for volume....

...only Bill knows for sure, but we'll make our pre-combine guess in part 2 of this mock draft.

Shock and Awe: The state of the Patriots' offense

The argument was never settled, though we talked well into the morning hours...

...My point was that as far as offensive priorities go, forcing the defense to defend the entire field, no matter the circumstance, is the most fundimental concept in all of football - a notion that was met with rude grumblings from the crowd gathered around the bar at the Rock Bottom Grill Sunday night.

The entire debacle started when I lamented New England Patriots' offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels' propensity for abandoning the run when it isn't intially successful, which was instantly dismissed as a pile of bad noise.

It was pointed out that the Patriots have the type of passing attack, and the overwhelming talent to compensate for a lack of running game - which is true in some cases, but doesn't lend itself to domination of an opponent, nor does it establish any sort of physicality.

Nor is it a recipe for championships.

In the end we agreed to disagree and I kicked all them out of the Grill and into the teeth of a sudden snow squall which had delivered a pristine white crust atop everything, giving a twinge of beauty to this filthy little New England village.

Because they were wrong.

They had stats galore, a few of them even breaking out laptops and tablets, wanting me to look at their statistics that probably backed up their weak arguments very well, but I waved them off like offsetting penalties. "Show me a list of the last 20 Super Bowl Champions" I bellowed, "That's the only stat that matters to me."

Hell, they could have done the past 30, the past 40 champions - come up with crap like "They were a passing team" or "They only ran 30% of the time", and it wouldn't have mattered.  If, as a unit, you can not make a defense defend the entire field, you will not ever win a championship.

That's what the New England Patriots will be all about when the Playoffs kick next weekend.

They don't have to have the greatest statistical running game, nor the most dynamic of passing attacks.  Just the threat of the awesomeness of either is enough to overwhelm any defense they encounter.

Thing is, they do have a good running game and they have perhaps the most dynamic passing attack in the NFL, certainly the most diverse...poised to win 12 games, many are hoping for a top 2 seed and a resultant bye week, but those things are not under their control.  As much as it stinks, the Patriots lost control of thier destiny by laying that 1st half egg against the 49ers a couple of weeks ago.

But something that the rest of the playoff field has to be concerned about was what happened after the Patriots gained their composure in that game and started making the 49ers defend the entire field.

Which makes one ask the question: Why do the Patriots abandon the run if it isn't sucessful initially?

Unfortunately, there isn't an answer to that, at least not a good one, and only McDaniels and Bill Belichick know for sure.  But the evidence to support balance has existed in football since advent of the game, and has it's roots in military tactics since the beginning of time...

...and it's called blitzkrieg - or to use a more modern phrase, Shock and Awe.

Usually associated with a crushing assault using tanks and fighter aircraft in war time to anihilate an enemy, it is actually more of an ideal that causes fear and loathing among the ememy.  The idea is to beat them mentally, as a prelude to their destruction or surrender.

Speed, lateral maneuvering and the shock of sudden violence throughout the entire depth of the defense to create conditions of physcological shock in the minds of the defense...

...to wear them down physically as well with a fast paced air superiority combined with a brutal frontal assault to keep them off balance and unable to react faster than than their weakness can be exploited, preventing them from establishing effective defence, particularly late in games.

The Patriots came into this season seeking to accomplish this with the threat of a Tight End heavy attack so large and so fast that it would act as road grading force, leading a powerful running game and paving the way for a play action arial assault that would so mentally and physically wear down their opponents that they would be psycologically beaten before even taking the field.

But something happened along the way.  Injuries ravaged the heavily relied upon tight end corps as the Patriots most diverse weapon, Aaron Hernandez, went down early in week two with a severely sprained ankle.  New England persevered, the running game still able to follow tight end Rob Gronkowski and the entire right side of the offensive line through huge holes, still able to set the table for quarterback Tom Brady's passing attack.

The numbers were off the charts, as they racked up yardage and first downs and points in bunches and dominated their opponents to the point that had nothing left down the stretch.  But that all came to a screeching halt when Gronkowski went down with a broken forearm on November 18th.

Without the All Pro tight end, the Patriots became ordinary on offense and, combined with key injuries on the defensive side, they were unable to dominate consistently. 

To their credit, the team lost just once in the ensuing 5 games, a wild 41-34 loss to the San Francisco 49ers - a game that saw the Patriots turn the ball over several times and fall behind 31-3 before scoring 28 strait points in 14 minutes to tie the game before running out of gas.

They abandoned the run in many of these contests as their physicality disappeared as their tight ends began to fall - only establishing their running game in the waning moments, but not enough to close out games.

Establishing the run is the second most fundamental rule in all of offensive football - with striving for balance on offense being first.  So it's not as if you're inventing something new when you run the ball. The basic schemes are the same as they were 50 years ago. There are still 11 guys trying to stop 11 guys, it's still a game of violent ground acquisition, its still 3 yards and a cloud of dust...

...with strong-armed quarterbacks throwing the ball 60 yards downfield to world class sprinters mixed in for breathtaking excitement.

The National Football Legaue has evolved into a pass happy institution, but behind the glitz and glitter of a finely tuned vertical passing attack is the threat of an efficient running game - and it is our task to understand why, and the most important of these reasons is that for an offense to be successful in one area, it must be proficient in all.

Forcing the defense to defend the entire field is the best way to achieve balance.

Never allow the defense to crowd the line of scrimmage, stacking eight or 10 men in the box because you are predictable in calling the run. Never allow the defense to flood the zones with extra defenders because you pass eight downs out of 10. The offense should attack all areas of the field and force the defenders to stay at home, thus allowing the offensive coaches to create the basic two-on-one mismatches that lead to success for the offense.

And now that Rob Gronkowski is back and Aaron Hernandez is healed, now that Wes Welker has re-established his rightful position as the best slot reciever in the game, now that Brandon Lloyd has emerged as the intermediate threat that opens up things for the underneath routes and the running game, the Patriots are fully stocked once again and ready to dominate in the playoffs.

Along the way, they discovered much about their offense.  The offensive line, a source of much anxiety in the preseason, has emerged as a strength.  The tight end depth has proven to be NFL quality and will add yet another dimension to the already powerful attack.

In other words, teams that attempt to get into a shootout with the Patriots are going to lose - and lose big.

This is the state of the New England Patriots going into the playoffs.  They are balanced, they are finally healthy and they are looking not just to win, but to dominate.

It took all season to get everyone on the field at the same time, so now it's time for the Patriots opponents to be shocked and awed.

Cunningham back in fold, Brace released

Suspension over, lesson learned.

New England Patriots' Defensive lineman Jermaine Cunningham was activated to the team's 53 man roster today, adding a much need wrinkle to the Patriots inconsistent pass rush - which goes to figure since it became that way when Cunningham started serving his suspension.

The Patriots also announced the promotions of Wide Reciever Kamar Aiken and defensive back Malcolm Williams to the active roster from the practice squad.

To make room for the activations, New England cut reserve defensive tackle Ron Brace

A thrid year product of the University of Florida, Cunningham had been a valuable key to a mid-season surge in the Patriots' pass rush, when he started seeing time at tackle.  Paired with Wilfork, he showed a propensity with his initial burst and quickness to penetrate and seal the guards to the outside, allowing his teammates to shoot the gaps.

Since being suspended, only two of the Patriots seven sacks have come from the interior, with Jerod Mayo reaching the QB on a hug blitz and Wilfork mauling a double team to paydirt.

Cunningham returns at a great time and expects to see plenty of reps against the Miami Dolphins tomorrow afternoon as the coaching staff will get him up to speed in game action.  Chandler Jones figures to be the biggest beneficiary of Cunningham's return, as his absense and Jones' health have factored into a quiet second half of the season for the lanky rookie.

No one should sleep on Dont'a Hightower, either.  The rookie from Alabama has come on in the past few games and now has four sacks on the season after missing a couple of games with health issues of his own - and has produced solid penetration, including a sack on Chad Henne last week.

With Cunningham's return it appears that the Patriots are fully stocked on the line for the first time in two months - and softens the blow of Brandon Spikes probably being inactive for the Dolphins game as he battles a knee injury.  Ninkovich has moved over to take Spikes' spot, so look for him to take advantage of a gap or two.

It's also good news for a Patriots secondary that sports a skeleton crew these days, as starting corners Alfonzo Dennard and Aqib Talib are hobbled, forcing the staff to juggle players to stay the course while the two heal.  Cunningham's presense may mean that these beleagured defensive backs have to hold their coverage maybe a little less longer.

While not the be all / end all for the Patriots' defensive line, Cunningham was having a spirited season, contrary to last season's disappointing sophomore slump campaign, and is counted on to be part of a rotation that is as deep as it is versatile.

When he was suspended, he knew that he let his team mates down - and now, he has a chance to make it up to them.

If "ifs" and "buts" were candy and nuts...

...then every day would be christmas.

New England Patriots' head coach Bill Belichick if fond of throwing that little gem in sportswriter's faces when they dare ask him about "possibilities", and does so with a smile akin to that of the Grinch.

No termites in his smile, mind you, but when it comes to how he approaches an opponent - not to mention a rouge writer who feels a bit uppity on a particular day - his heart is indeed three sizes too small.

We all know what's at stake for his Patriots.  Should the Houston Texans or Denver Broncos lose their games this Sunday against the Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs, respectively, the Patriots would gain a first round bye, provided that New England beats the visiting Miami Dolphins.

CBS threw the Patriots a bone by flexing their game against the Dolphins into the 4:25pm time slot, meaning that the Patriots will know the results of the Texans / Colts game before taking the field.  Also of interest is to see how the Baltimore Ravens fare in their contest against the Bengals in Cincinnati.

As it stands right at this moment, the Texans hold the #1 seed in the AFC at 12-3, a head-to-head tie breaker ahead of the 12-3 Denver Broncos, who hold the two seed - with the Patriots a thorn in each of their sides, forcing both of them to play to win their respective games to hold onto their seedings - because New England at 11-4 still holds head-to-head tie breakers over each, so if either loses and the Patriots win, New England takes over a top 2 seed and have a bye week.

If both happen to lose and the Patriots win, the road to the Super Bowl would again go right through snowy Foxboro.

Possible, but unlikely.

The Ravens present the Patriots the same scenario, in that if Baltimore goes into Cincinnati and somehow manages to beat the Bengals, then New England would have to win to hold onto the #3 seed, or higher.  Fortunately, the Patriots will know how desperate the situation is before they take the field.

So...given the multiple scenarios, will the Patriots play to win regardless of the outcomes of the other games, or will they react accordingly to the results of the early games?

Depends on who you talk to, just don't ask Belichick.

The wildcard in this entire fiasco is that the Denver Broncos play at the same time as New England.  Thought it is unlikely that the Broncos would fall to the 2-13 Chiefs in Denver, Belichick knows better than to assume anything.

"I've been around the league long enough to know that anything can happen." he said recently when a sportswriter felt a little froggy and brought up the "ifs" and "buts" scenarios...then going on to deliver a monologue worthy of a late night talk show.

"I think that there's a certain amount of planning and looking ahead that as a head coach you need to do, or organizationally you need to do," he panned, the grinch-smile curling around his face, "We could be traveling in the playoffs. We have to be looking at where we would stay if we travel somewhere, things like that. You can't be totally oblivious to possibilities that exist out there, because you don't know, on something like that, we don't even know when we're going to be playing next or who we're going to be playing next. There's quite a few possibilities."

What?  They have to be looking where they would stay?

Normally Belichick would avoid the question altogether, but since the writer had the audacity to bring it up, Belichick thought he'd give him his money's worth - and said nothing in the process.

The smart money would be on Belichick managing the roster as if it were the 3rd preseason game:  Tell the starters that they have a certain amount of time to get it done, then they're out of there.  By that time, unless the Chiefs have the game of their season, we should have a pretty good idea of what the Patriots need to do.

The best case scenario would have both Houston and Baltimore losing.  Give the offense the opportunity to build a lead and keep the entire starting tandem game work to keep them sharp, then turn it over to the depth when and if things are under control.

The only question would be if the Texans and Ravens win their games - do you assume that the Broncos will beat the Chiefs and give maximum rest to the starters?

Perhaps the best way to approach all of this is to just assume that you can never guess what Belichick is going to do, so why even bother?

That way you don't risk the "ifs" and "buts" verbal flogging - because Bill Belichick is going to do what he's going to do, and have a little fun at the writer's expense while he's at it.

Mayo, Mankins among Patriots hopefully not headed to the Pro Bowl.

Normally players that are going to be playing the Super Bowl will not play in the Pro Bowl.

So Jerod Mayo more than likely considers being named to the team an honor, but hopes that Coach Bill Belichick won't let him go to the annual NFL All Star game.

Because the thing is held on the Sunday between the Conference Championships and the Super Bowl, with the idea to fill the football void in between...and what coach or player in their right mind would take the chance to get injured in the exhibition game and not be able to play in the Biggest game of the year?

Not to mention losing focus...pay attention to the task at hand, the next game, the next opponent.

So, you'll have to excuse him and Rob Gronkowski, Logan Mankins and Vince Wilfork if they seem less than thrilled about the prospect of having to attend the Pro Bowl.  I would imagine that just being named to the team is honor enough, and most players have incentives in their contracts that give their bank accounts a nice little boost as well...

Personal accomplishments are nice, as are all-expense paid trips to Hawaii for the player and his family, but winning championships are what it's all about.

Peyton Manning was named the starter for the AFC, while Brady was named a backup.  This is the eighth overall selection for Brady, and his fourth straight.  Welker was topped by three other recievers...the seven Patriots named were second most in the AFC behind the Houston Texans' eight, with the Broncos, Ravens and Chiefs (?) finishing second with 5 each.

San Francisco had the most selections in the NFL with nine 49ers being named.

This is the eighth overall selection for Brady, and his fourth straight. For Manning, the selection is his 12th in his storied career.

So by all means, Peyton Manning, as the elder statesman you should start in the Pro Bowl.  I'm sure that the Patriots will be more than happy to give you a big send off...

Hooman? Uh oh! You da man, Illinois Mike!

His name is is enough to cause a traffic jam on a phonetic road map, so most people take a shortcut.

With silent consonants and double vowels to impede their progress, most of Michael Hoomanawanui's Patriots' teammates have a shortened nickname for the 6' 4", 275 pound Tight End.

"Hooman" seems to be the most common, while others call him "Uh, oh!", and his former coaches on the St. Louis Rams called him "Illinois Mike", referring to the college program that he played for, which was only about an hour's drive from his hometown of Bloomington.

Walking into the Patriots' locker room after being signed just as the team was breaking camp this past summer, Hooman found himself an afterthought, the fourth tight end on a team that featured two young Pro Bowl talents taking up the starting positions, and backed up by a solid 6th year veteran in Daniel Fells.

So with a name that is translated to mean "To be patient", it goes without saying that Hoomanawanui had the inherent determination to know that he would eventually get his chance to display his wares - and with the position having been decimated by injury, the versatility and speed of the third year player became evident on a team where versatility is key. 

“He’s just a young tight end with a lot of flexibility,’’ said tight ends coach George Godsey, “He’s worked in the backfield, he’s worked as an in-motion tight end, he’s worked on the line at the point of attack, and he’s worked in the slot, so he’s just another flexible tight end, which we try to do as much as we can with them.’’

Like Hernandez, Illinois Mike is more of an H-back than a tight end.  He may not have the straight line speed and separation ability of Hernandez, but is a better in-line blocker and lead blocker out of the backfield, and has been an absolute gem in the absence of All World tight end Rob Gronkowski.

“Now I’ve added a kind of a new role, playing fullback, and it’s been fun."  said the 3rd year pro recently, "So anything they need me to do or want me to do, I’m up for it. Whatever helps us win.’’
 

The Fullback position, incidentally, was where Uh oh made his first start with the Patriots, in the disputed loss at Baltimore in week 3. The following week, with Hernandez on the mend with an ankle injury, Hoomanawanui started at tight end opposite Gronkowski, leapfrogging Fells on the depth chart.
 

“Gronk and Aaron, being who they are and what they can do, you’ve got to find a way to help in this offense,’’ Hoomanawanui said. “So anything I can do, whether it be on special teams or playing fullback, I’m going to try and do.’’

Just like last year when injuries to the Patriots defense, particularly the secondary, the increase in playing time has benefited the former fifth round draft pick, and the experience has added another legitimate weapon to the Patriots' offense...

...and as early as this weekend's season finale against the Dolphins, we could see how much having a healthy Gronkowski and Hernandez at the same time opens up the field not just for Hooman, but for All Pro Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd as well.

So, Patriots fans, you should really learn how to pronounce his name, because Michael Patrick Hoomanawanui of Bloomington, Illinois has carved out a niche for himself on this team for the immediate future and beyond...

...but he doesn't mind if you call him "Hooman" or "Uh Oh" or even "Illinois Mike", just as long as you remember that he is a tight end for the New England Patriots, and he plans on being here for a while.